187 Boise State (betting odds: -3 ½) vs. Georgia 8:00
PM ESPN
Never easy to play
against Boise in these marquee match-ups, Sixth year HC Petersen is a mind
boggling 61-5 SU, including 26-12 ATS L3Y and 21-8 ATS, A or N. They return QB
Moore, number 1 in pass efficiency last season. He authored a last minute drive
to beat Virginia Tech in a similar spot last season. But this is a Georgia team
with so much more to prove. They come off an underachieving 6-7 SU season. But they
are notably better than the team from last year with major edge in crowd
support and the intangibles from the embarrassing season last year. Most of all
they carry the SEC pedigree with the pride of representing the premier
conference in the nation
175 Fresno State vs. 176 California
(betting odds: -10) Candlestick Park 7:00 PM EST
Most opinions of
Fresno HC Hill are that he is an outstanding head coach. I must question that.
In the last 6 years his teams are -51 net turnovers with a negative return
every season (and getting worse). In fact, in the last 3 seasons his Bulldogs
are -11, -10, and -11 net turnovers resulting in a -186 AFP with an ATS record
of 13-24 ATS. That hardly instills confidence among the faithful. But if
there's 1 aspect of his coaching ability that has proven to be true it's that
he has succeed in playing anyone, anywhere, anytime. When faced with those
challenges he has logged a recent mark of 11-4 ATS A or N vs. NC foes. Included
in that mark is 5-1 ATS vs. BCS opponents. And he is 7-0 SU in game 1 including
3 games against BCS foes. There is no doubt he will have his Bulldog contingent
prepared for this game despite virgin QB Carr operating behind an inexperienced
OL as part of a group of only 10 RS. Cal HC Tedford must also break in a new
signal caller and features a team with just 12 RS. For as much ink as he has
gotten his team's fortunes have been plummeting of late. L4Y his Bears are just
29-22 SU, and just 24-26 ATS. As former QB and OC at Fresno he will want his Bears
to put their best foot forward in this match up. But he brings a recent record
of 4-13 ATS as RF or NF, completely dichotomous to that of Hill and the Bulldogs.
Candlestick venue, a probably edge for the Red Wave who will at the least be
more vocal. Furthermore we get great value in the line that is a full touchdown
more than where it would have closed last season.
183 Tulsa vs. 184 Oklahoma (betting odds: -24)8:00 PM
EST FX
A little experience
can go along way in this particular analysis. The line maker opened this game
at 20 ½ points, a clear indication they were asking for favorite money. The public has obliged by pushing this
line all the way to 24 1/2. My experience tells me that following a 4 point
move in college football at any week in the season would give you a less than
50 % probability for success. But the Sooners are getting a lot of love based
on their number 1 ranking, a potentially explosive offense that averaged 40 PPG
on this field last year, and their mark of 20-8 ATS HF. Few seem to remember
that the Sooners gave up nearly 22 PPG LY. This veteran Tulsa team has the
capability to oblige that. With 18 RS returning from a 10-3 SU 9-4 ATS they
feature QB Kinne and a veteran OL. Behind last years HC Graham they would have
been on pace to average 40 + points. Under new HC Blankenship they will need to
prove it to me first.
Free Picks: Boise State vs Georgia Betting
What college football bettors need to know about Boise State vs Georgia
(Saturday, Sep. 3, 2011) from Pregame.com - Including predictions from
Vegas Runner and analysis from host RJ Bell.