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College Football Free Picks: California, Oklahoma, Boise State and Georgia

187 Boise State (betting odds: -3 ½) vs. Georgia 8:00 PM ESPN

Never easy to play against Boise in these marquee match-ups, Sixth year HC Petersen is a mind boggling 61-5 SU, including 26-12 ATS L3Y and 21-8 ATS, A or N. They return QB Moore, number 1 in pass efficiency last season. He authored a last minute drive to beat Virginia Tech in a similar spot last season. But this is a Georgia team with so much more to prove. They come off an underachieving 6-7 SU season. But they are notably better than the team from last year with major edge in crowd support and the intangibles from the embarrassing season last year. Most of all they carry the SEC pedigree with the pride of representing the premier conference in the nation

175 Fresno State vs. 176 California (betting odds: -10) Candlestick Park 7:00 PM EST

Most opinions of Fresno HC Hill are that he is an outstanding head coach. I must question that. In the last 6 years his teams are -51 net turnovers with a negative return every season (and getting worse). In fact, in the last 3 seasons his Bulldogs are -11, -10, and -11 net turnovers resulting in a -186 AFP with an ATS record of 13-24 ATS. That hardly instills confidence among the faithful. But if there's 1 aspect of his coaching ability that has proven to be true it's that he has succeed in playing anyone, anywhere, anytime. When faced with those challenges he has logged a recent mark of 11-4 ATS A or N vs. NC foes. Included in that mark is 5-1 ATS vs. BCS opponents. And he is 7-0 SU in game 1 including 3 games against BCS foes. There is no doubt he will have his Bulldog contingent prepared for this game despite virgin QB Carr operating behind an inexperienced OL as part of a group of only 10 RS. Cal HC Tedford must also break in a new signal caller and features a team with just 12 RS. For as much ink as he has gotten his team's fortunes have been plummeting of late. L4Y his Bears are just 29-22 SU, and just 24-26 ATS. As former QB and OC at Fresno he will want his Bears to put their best foot forward in this match up. But he brings a recent record of 4-13 ATS as RF or NF, completely dichotomous to that of Hill and the Bulldogs. Candlestick venue, a probably edge for the Red Wave who will at the least be more vocal. Furthermore we get great value in the line that is a full touchdown more than where it would have closed last season.

183 Tulsa vs. 184 Oklahoma (betting odds: -24)8:00 PM EST FX

A little experience can go along way in this particular analysis. The line maker opened this game at 20 ½ points, a clear indication they were asking for favorite money.  The public has obliged by pushing this line all the way to 24 1/2. My experience tells me that following a 4 point move in college football at any week in the season would give you a less than 50 % probability for success. But the Sooners are getting a lot of love based on their number 1 ranking, a potentially explosive offense that averaged 40 PPG on this field last year, and their mark of 20-8 ATS HF. Few seem to remember that the Sooners gave up nearly 22 PPG LY. This veteran Tulsa team has the capability to oblige that. With 18 RS returning from a 10-3 SU 9-4 ATS they feature QB Kinne and a veteran OL. Behind last years HC Graham they would have been on pace to average 40 + points. Under new HC Blankenship they will need to prove it to me first.


Movie Free Picks: Boise State vs Georgia Betting
What college football bettors need to know about Boise State vs Georgia (Saturday, Sep. 3, 2011) from Pregame.com - Including predictions from Vegas Runner and analysis from host RJ Bell.

I was born in Oakmont, PA – a couple blocks from the world famous Oakmont Country Club, before it became world famous. I attended Denison University in Granville, Ohio, where I played varsity basketball... Read more

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