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Sports news with a Vegas perspective.

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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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College Football Free Pick Arizona Wildcats vs Washington State Cougars

Saturday college football and we will see the Arizona Wildcats take on the Washington State Huskies at Martin Stadium in Pullman Washington. The game has a start time of 6:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on the Pac-12 Network. Current Vegas odds have the Wildcats listed as 3 point favorites, while the total is set at 73.5.  

Analysis:  The Arizona Wildcats come in ranked 15th in the polls with a 5-1 record on the season. The Cats are also 2-0 on the road and 2-1 in the Pac-12. Arizona is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a Bye week, but they are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs a team with a losing home record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games. The Arizona offense is very strong, as they rank 4th in the nation in total yards, 7th in passing, 38th in rushing and 24th in scoring, putting up 37.5 ppg. On the defensive side they are not so good, ranking 92nd in total yards allowed, 109th vs the pass, 60th vs the run, while allowing 26.8 ppg, which is 68th in the nation.

The Washington State Cougars come in at 2-5 on the year, which includes a 1-3 mark at home. The Cougars are just 1-3 in the Pac-12 with that lone win being a one point victory at Utah a few weeks ago. The Cougars are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games off an ATS loss and the dog is 10-2 ATS the last 12 in this series, but they are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Offense is not a problem for this team as they come in ranked 8th in total offense, 1st in passing, 127th in rushing and 34th in scoring (35 ppg). The defense is another story as they come in ranked 98th in total yards allowed, 112th vs the pass, 70th vs the run and 107th in points allowed (35 ppg). 

Pick: The Cougars are an improved team this year, but really hasn’t shown up in the standings and I don’t think they will take this game either. Both teams have high powered offenses, but the Cats can play some defense, while the Cougars cannot. It should be a fun game, but in the end the Wildcats will walk away with a win of at least a TD.   

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