Saturday college football and we will see the Arizona State Sun Devils will take on the Oregon State Beavers at Reser Stadium in Corvallis, Oregon. The game has a start time of 10:45 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN. Current Vegas odds have the Sun Devils listed as 7 point favorites, while the total is set at 59.
Analysis: The Arizona State Sun Devils come in off a huge 55-31 drubbing of Notre Dame. That win now has them at 8-1 on the year and still with hopes of crashing the 4 team playoff party at the end of the year. The Sun Devils are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, but are also 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Beavers. Arizona State is a solid offensive squad that ranks 26th in total yards, 26th in passing, 44th in rushing and 20th in scoring (36.7 ppg). The defense has been rather average, ranking 65th in yards allowed, 73rd vs the pass, 73rd vs the run and 51st in points allowed (24.9 ppg).
The Oregon State Beavers come in having lost 4 games in a row to fall to 4-5 on the year, including 1-5 in the Pac-12 Conference. With this game, a road date vs Washington and a home game vs Oregon to close out the year it looks as if OSU could be home during bowl season. OSU is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game, but also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Beavers come in ranked 74th in total offense, 28th in passing, 115th in rushing and 82nd in scoring (26.2 ppg). The Defense has been rather average this year, ranking 57th in yards allowed, 75th vs the pass, 57th vs the run and 88th in points allowed (29.8 ppg).
Pick: Let's look at the Under in this one. The Beavers offense has not been what it once was, as they come in averaging just 26.2 ppg, which is 82nd in the nation. ASU did allow 31 points to Notre Dame last week, but in their previous 3 games they allowed just 36 total points. This is a defense that is playing much better and has allowed just 22.8 ppg on the road this year. ASU can put up points in bunches, but may be a bit flat after the big win vs Notre Dame last night, plus the Beavers have played solid defense at home, allowing just 359.2 ypg and 26.8 ppg. I see a game in the lower 50s here.
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