College football week 11 and the Bowling Green Falcons will travel to InfoCision Stadium in Akron, Ohio to take on the Akron Zips. The game has a start time of 8:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN 2. Current Vegas odds have the Zips listed as 6 point favorites, while the total is set at 59.
Analysis: The Bowling Green Falcons come into this game at 5-3 overall, including a 2-2 mark on the road. Within the MAC Conference they are 3-1 and lead the MAC East by a full game over the Akron Zips. Bowling Green is a sparkling 9-0 ATS in their last 9 weekday games, and they are 4-0 ATS their last 4 games played here, but also are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a bye week. Bowling Green has been a solid offensive squad this year, as they come in ranked 38th in total offense, 25th in passing, 65th in rushing, and 40th in scoring, putting up 33.6 ppg. On the defensive side of the ball it is not so rosy, as they come in ranked 126th in yards allowed, 126th vs the pass, 109th vs the run and 112th in points allowed (36.5 ppg).
The Akron Zips come in on a 2 games slide, to fall to 4-4 on the year overall, which includes a 3-1 mark at home. They are just 2-2 in the MAC, but still a win here will pull them into a tie with the Falcons in the MAC East. The Zips are 0-6 ATS the last 6 in this series and they are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, but they have also gone 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a Bye week. Akron is not a very god offensive team, ranking 81st in total yards, 45th in passing, 107th in rushing and 103rd in scoring (22.9 ppg). The Zips have been a solid defensive team, ranking 42nd in yards allowed, 63rd vs the pass, 35th vs the run and 22nd in points allowed (20.2 ppg).
Pick: Going to look at the Under in this game. The Zips are not a strong offensive offensive team, as they average just 22.9 ppg, while giving up just 20.3 ppg overall, including just 18.3 ppg at home. Bowling Green has been solid on offense and their defense has been very bad, but at home Akron will not let this get into a shootout. They will play ball control, which will eat plenty of Clock and keep the Bowling Green Offense on the sidelines. Akron is not a take many chances type of team, especially knowing that they have a very good defense behind them. The Under is 21-6 in Akron's last 27 games overall and 5-1 in their last 6 games in November, while the Under is 11-2 ATS in the Falc ons last 13 games following an ATS loss and 15-6 in their last 21 MAC games. The Last two years this sereis has seen just 34 and 45 points scored and this one should not top 52 here.
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