Sunday college basketball and we will see the Tulsa Golden Hurricane travel to Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs, with the winner taking the AAC regular season title. The game has a start time of 3:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN. Current Vegas betting odds have the Mustangs listed as 8.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 123.
Analysis: The Tulsa Golden Hurricane had won 4 games in a row and were sitting atop the AAC standings until a home loss to Cincinnati on Wednesday night took place. The Hurricane are now tied atop the AAC standings with SMU, while overall the team has gone 21-8, including 8-3 in true road games. Tulsa has gone 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Golden Hurricane have been a below average offensive team this year, ranking 228th in scoring (65.3 ppg), 231st in shooting (42.3%), 249th in 3 point shooting (32.5%) and 319th in FT shooting (64.5%). Defensively Tulsa has been very good this year, ranking 35th in points allowed (60.3 ppg), 32nd in defensive FG% (39.3%) and 112th in 3 point defense (33.1%).
The SMU Mustangs have been a very hot club in the AAC, but they do come off a tough road loss at UConn and that loss means that are now a half a game behind Tulsa in the battle for the top spot in the conference. SMU is now 22-6 overall, 14-3 in the AAC and 15-2 at home. SMU has gone 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 home games, while the home team is 5-20-1 ATS the last 26 in the series. The Mustangs have been a decent offensive team this year, ranking 119th in scoring (69.6 ppg), 11th in shooting (48.6%), 72nd in 3 point shooting (36.8%) and 131st in FT shooting (71.1%). The defense for this team has been very good this year, ranking 24th in points allowed (59.7 ppg), 15th in defensive FG% (38.3%) and 68th in 3 point defense (31.9%).
Pick: Yes I will be going with the Under in this one. Both of these teams play at a slow pace and both play defense very well. Tulsa comes in allowing just 60 ppg overall, but in their last 5 games they have been even better, allowing just 54.4 ppg (Regulation) over that stretch. The Mustangs have been a great defensive team this year as they have allowed just 59.7 ppg overall and just 58.4 ppg at home. Should be a very close game that could come down to the last possession and that should mean allot of walking the ball up the court in the last 10 minutes or so. I look for no more than 115 in this one.
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