Quarterfinals of the WCC Tournament and we will see the San Francisco Dons take on the Gonzaga Bulldogs at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The game has a start time of 9:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN 2. Current Vegas betting odds have the Bulldogs listed as 16 point favorites, while the total is set at 135.5.
Analysis: The San Francisco Dons come in off a hard fought 62-58 win over Pacific in the first round of the WCC tournament. Overall the Dons are now 14-17 on the year and that includes 2 double digit losses to the Zags this year. San Fran has gone 10-4 ATS in their last 14 in the series and 49-22 ATS in their last 71 vs. the WCC, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win. The Dons have been a decent offensive team this year, ranking 136th in scoring (69.1 ppg), 85th in shooting (45.4%), 173rd in 3 point shooting (34.3%) and 342nd in FT shooting (62.4%). Defensively the Dons have not been so good as they come in ranked 199th in points allowed (67.3 ppg), 134th in defensive FG% (42.2%) and 249th in 3 point defense (35.5%).
The Gonzaga Bulldogs have had a great year so far, but they may have lost their chance at a number 1 seed when they lost at home to BYU in the last game of the Regular season. The Zags are still the top seed in the WCC tournament and come in with a 29-2 record overall. Gonzaga has gone 24-9-2 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS loss, but just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The Bulldogs have been a very good offensive team this year, ranking 15th in scoring (78.7 ppg), 1st in shooting (52.4%), 7th in 3 point shooting (40.4%) and 133rd in FT shooting (70.1%). Defensively the Bulldogs have been very good this year, ranking 30th in points allowed (60.1 ppg), 15th in defensive FG% (38.3%) and 97th in 3 point defense (32.6%).
Pick: Going with the Under here. These teams did play a couple of high scoring games this year, but this is tournament ball and those tend to be a bit lower scoring. Both teams come in playing great defense as the Zags have allowed just 57.5 ppg in their last 6 games, while the dons have allowed just 59.0 ppg (Regulation) in their last 6 games. I can see the defenses having the better time of it in this one.
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