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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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College Basketball Betting Odds North Carolina Tar Heels vs Kentucky Wildcats Free Pick

NCAA basketball on Saturday and we will see the North Carolina Tar Heels take on the Kentucky Wildcats at Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky. The game has a start time of 12:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on CBS. Vegas odds have the Wildcats listed as 12 point favorites, while the total sits at 133.

Analysis: The North Carolina Tar Heels come in ranked 18th in the nation with a 6-2 mark on the year. The Heels have played a couple neutral site games this year, but their will be their first true road game. North Carolina is 17-3-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. Southeastern and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win, but just 11-27 ATS in their last 38 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. The Heels have been a decent offensive team, ranking 29th in scoring (81.4 ppg), 118th in shooting (44.9%), 311th in 3 point shooting and 148th in FT shooting (69.8%). The Defense has been decent for this team, ranking 135th in points allowed, 5th in defensive FG (33.5%) and 5th in 3 point defense (24.1%).

The Kentucky Wildcats are the top ranked team in the nation, with a 10-0 record, that also includes a 9-0 record at home. This is a very talented team, bt they did suffer a major blow when Alex Poythress was lost for the year. The Cats are  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, but 6-18-1 ATS in their last 25 vs. Atlantic Coast and 6-18-1 ATS in their last 25 vs. Atlantic Coast. The Cats are a solid offensive team, ranking 65th in scoring (75.4 ppg), 84th in shooting (46.6%), 314th in 3 point shooting (27.7%) and 259th in FT shooting (65.3%). The defense for the Cats is the best n the nation as they rank 1st in points allowed (45.9 ppg), 1st in defensive FG% (28.7%) and 13th in 3 point defense (25.4%).  

Pick:  Gonna go with the Under in this one. Both of these teams have played great defense this year, both teams have played a rather slow brand of ball and that is a good recipe for a low scoring game. We also note that both teams are horrible from long range and the Heels are average from the charity stripe, while the Cats are horrible from them. I just can't see this one hitting the 130s at all. 

 

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