Saturday college basketball and we will see the Arizona Wildcats travel to Wells Fargo Arena to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils The game has a start time of 4:30 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on Fox. Current Vegas betting odds have Arizona listed as 9 point favorites, while the total is set at 135.
Analysis: The Arizona Wildcats come into this game ranked 6th in the nation with a 20-2 record. The Cats also have an 8-1 record in Pac-12 play, which puts them in first place in the league, a game ahead of Utah. Arizona has gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Wildcats have been a good on offensive this year, ranking 35th in scoring (74.9 ppg), 8th in shooting (49.4%), 98th in 3 point shooting (36.1%) and 171st in FT shooting (69.1%). The defense for this team has been very good this year, ranking 17th in points allowed (58.2 ppg), 60th in defensive FG% (39.8%) and 117th in 3 point defense (32.5%).
The Arizona state Sun Devils have struggled in Pac-12 play this year, going 3-6 overall and just 1-2 in their last 3. They come in off a 68-67 OT loss at home to the Ducks, which dropped them to 11-11 overall for the year, including just 10-3 at home. ASU has gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, just just 1-4 the last 5 in the series. The Sun Devils have been a decent offensive team this year, ranking 122nd in scoring (69.7 ppg), 85th in shooting (45.3%), 67th in 3 point shooting (37.1%) and 271st in FT shooting (66.3%). The defense for this team has been average as they come in ranked, 126th in points allowed (64.2 ppg), 227th in defensive FG% (43.7%) and 254th in 3 point defense (35.5%).
Pick: Very hard to see this game played in the 130's at all. the teams met earlier in Arizona and that game produced just 122 points, with the Wildcats holding the Sun Devils to just 49 points in that game. This is a team that is locked in defensively as they have allowed just 54.6 ppg in their ast 5 games overall and just 63 ppg on the road. In their last two games vs Oregon State and Oregon they allowed just 34 and 56 points respectively. ASU has played solid defense overall this year, but very good defense at home where they have allowed just 60.6 ppg. Both teams play at a rather slow pace and even though the offenses have looked good of late I just see the defenses being much better in the one. This game will not hit the 130s at all.
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