MAC football takes place on Wednesday night and we will see the Bowling Green Falcons travel to Athens, Ohio to take on the Ohio Bobcats. The game is scheduled for an 8:00 PM (Eastern) start time and it will be televised live on ESPN 2. Currently the odds for the game have Ohio favored by 3 points, while the total sits at 48.5. Check out Sportsbook Spy to find out what side the Public is taking on all today's games.
Free Analysis: The Falcons have been completely dominant during the five-game surge, outscoring opponents 157 to 33, and allowing an average of 67 rushing YPG. These schools have split the past 16 meetings SU, but Bowling Green holds an 11-5 ATS advantage in this span. The Falcons usually play well in Athens, going 5-1 ATS (4-2 SU) in the past six visits. Bowling Green QB Matt Schilz has played very well in this series, throwing for 509 yards, 5 TD and 2 INT in two games versus Ohio. He's also stepped up his performance during the current five-game win streak, throwing eight touchdowns and just two picks. Top RB Anthon Samuel (neck) did not play in last week's 24-3 win over Eastern Michigan, but he does expect to start on Wednesday night. Samuel, who compiled 85 total yards and a touchdown versus Ohio last year, has surpassed 110 rushing yards in four of his past six games. On the defensive side of the ball, the Falcons lead the MAC and rank amongst the nation's top-10 in both scoring defense (15.2 PPG, 9th in FBS) and total defense (290 YPG, 8th in nation). The Falcons have also forced 10 turnovers in the past three weeks, and allowed a total of 147 passing yards in the past two victories.
Ohio had been playing with fire the last month with several close wins over out manned opponents before things caught up to them in a 23-20 loss to Miami (Ohio) in week nine. The Bobcats finally looked like themselves in week ten in a 45-14 rout of Eastern Michigan in their most complete game in quite some time. Ohio is now 5-0 SU (3-2 ATS) at home, averaging 42.4 PPG in these five games at Peden Stadium in Athens, OH. Ohio QB Tyler Tettleton had a strong performance in last year's win over Bowling Green, totaling 322 yards (194 pass, 128 rush) and 2 TD. He led his team on a 15-play, 83-yard drive that ate up the final 7:34 and set up the game-winning 23-yard field goal on the last play of regulation. Although his 263 total YPG is well below last year's 284 total YPG, Tettleton has thrown just two interceptions all year in 244 attempts, with 15 TD passes. Part of his dip in yardage has to do with the performance of junior RB Beau Blankenship, who has 1,097 rushing yards (122 per game) and 8 TD. A big reason Ohio is 8-1 because it ranks fourth in the nation in turnover margin with +1.7 per game. The Bobcats have forced 20 turnovers (11 fumbles, 9 INT), but have just five giveaways in nine games. This has helped compensate for an average defense allowing 387 total YPG, including a hefty 252 passing YPG.
Free Pick: I like the Under in this one. This Bowling Green defense has been on quite a roll of late as they have allowed just 6.6 ppg in their last 5 games, while in their last 3 games they have allowed just 5 ppg and 184 ypg. This defense is on fire right now and they should be able to hold down this strong Ohio offense that has averaged 35.6 ppg on the year. The Ohio offense is a run first offense, but they will be going up against a Bowling Green defense that has allowed just 104.2 ypg and 3.4 ypc on the ground this year. In their last 3 games they have been even better vs the run Allowing just 50.7 ypg and 2.1 ypc, The Ohio defense has been pretty solid this year as they have allowed just 22.4 ppg overall and 21.4 ppg at home. They have had some bad games on defense, but have played better of late, allowing just 18.7 ppg in their last 2 games. On the other side we have a Bowling Green offense that is pretty balanced between the pass and run, but they are a conservative offense, and with the defense they have right now they can afford to be. For the year the Falcon do average just 23 ppg overall and 15.4 ppg on the road. This should be a game of running, not taking chances and defense and that will have these teams scoring in the low 40's at best.
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