College Football Week 6 continues on Saturday morning and we will see the Navy Midshippmen travel west to take on the Air Force Falcons. The game is scheduled for an 11:30 am (Eastern) start time and it will be televised live on CBS. Currently the odds for the game have Air Force favored by 8 points, while the total sits at 54. Currently 73% of the Public is on Air Force, while 80% is on the Under. Find out what side the Public is taking on all the games by clicking HERE.
Free Analysis: Navy's season kicked off with the Emerald Isle Classic in Dublin, Ireland, losing handily to Notre Dame, 50-10. Its struggles continued even with its return to the states, with only a win against FCS program VMI (41-3) saving it from a winless start. The Midshipmen's last game, a 12-0 loss to San Jose State, marked the first time they've been shut out in six years. Their slow start is especially disappointing considering they won three of their last four games of the 2011 campaign. Navy has one of the worst scoring offenses in the country, ranking 117th out of 120 FBS teams with just 14.5 ppg. It reached new lows in the shutout loss to San Jose State, gaining only 144 total yards. The Midshipmen run the triple-option, but it has sputtered for the most part here in the early going, as they average just 4.6 yards per rush attempt. Quarterback Trey Miller leads the team with 69 carries and three rushing touchdowns, but he has only amassed 181 yards. Noah Copeland (41 carries, 190 yards) and Gee Gee Greene (25 carries, 195 yards, TD) share the load in the backfield. Miller has attempted just 55 passes over four games and hasn't been able to do much with them, completing 56.4 percent for 357 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions. Unlike the offense, the defense has shown great improvement of late. After allowing 84 combined points in their first two games, the Midshipmen have given up just 15 points total the past two weeks.
While Air Force lost a couple of difficult road games to Michigan (31-25) and UNLV (38-35), it has won both of its games at Falcon Stadium this season, defeating Idaho State 49-21 in the opener and Colorado State 42-21 in its first Mountain West Conference bout last week. The Falcons have enjoyed the home field advantage of late, winning four of their last five in USAFA, Colorado dating back to last season. Air Force also prefers to use the run more than the pass, but it has been much more effect than Navy so far this season, putting up 37.8 ppg while leading the nation in rushing offense with 396.3 yards per game. Cody Getz is coming off a career-high 222 yards in the win over Colorado State, and he now has 683 yards (8.2 ypc) and seven touchdowns rushing the football this season. He has gained at least 100 yards in four straight games, becoming the first Falcon to do so since Beau Morgan back in 1996. Connor Dietz has played every snap under center and has yet to throw an interception in 44 pass attempts. The senior has compiled 416 passing yards, 257 rushing yards, and five total touchdowns. The Falcons defense needs to tighten up if they want to be contenders in the MWC this year. They've given up 27.8 ppg and have allowed opponents to score touchdowns on 73 percent (11-of-15) of their trips to the red zone.
Air Force holds a 27-17 advantage in the all-time series with Navy. The Falcons have won two straight meetings following a seven-game losing streak to the Mids from 2003-09.
Free Pick: I will side with the Under in this one. Both of these teams run the same kind of triple option offense and that tends to eat a lot of clock. THe Navy defense struggled earlier in the year but they have been playing better of late, plus they face this offense every day in practice, so they should be prepared for it. The Air Force defense has struggled this year, but they are taking on a Navy offense that just put up 144 total yards last week vs San Jose State. This is an offense that has struggled all year and I’m not expecting them to break out in this one. Both defense know these offenses and with all the running that is expect I just don’t see a ton of points scored here.
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