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Big 10 Basketball Odds Michigan State Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers Free Pick

Saturday college basketball and we will see the Michigan State Spartans travel to Assembly Hall to take on the Indiana Hoosiers. The game has a start time of 12:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN. Current Vegas betting odds have the Spartans listed as 1 point favorites, while the total is set at 143. 

Analysis:  On Wednesday night the Michigan State Spartans snapped their brief 2 game losing streak with a hard fought 72-66 home win over Purdue. The win now has the Spartans at 20-10 on the year overall, including 11-6 in the Big 10 and 6-4 in true road games. MSU has gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, but just 4-9 ATS the last 13 games played at Indiana. The Spartans have been a good offensive team this year, ranking 70th in scoring (72.1 ppg), 33rd in shooting (47.2%), 16th in 3 point shooting (39.7%) and 337th in FT shooting (63.0%). The defense for this team has been solid, ranking 79th in points allowed (62.6 ppg), 36th in defensive FG% (39.5%) and 36th in 3 point defense (30.9%).

The Indiana Hoosiers started out 5-1 in the Big 10 this year, but of late they have not been very good, going just 4-7 in their last 11 games. The Hoosiers are still 19-11 on the year overall and have played very well at home where they are 15-3 so far. The Hoosiers have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Hoosiers have been a very good offensive team this year, ranking 17th in scoring (78.2 ppg), 34th in shooting (47.2%), 4th in 3 point shooting (41.1%) and 91st in FT shooting (71.2%). Defensively the Hoosiers have been very bad this year, ranking 302nd in points allowed (71.7 ppg), 305th in defensive FG% (45.6%) and 101st in 3 point defense (32.8%).   

Pick: I will go with the over in this one. Both of these teams have been high scoring uptempo teams this year that can score 75+ on any day. Both teams are very dangerous from long range and will always look for that spot up 3 on the break. The Hoosiers are a weak team on defense and MSU has struggled at that end of the floor of late. We also not that this is a huge game for both teams so we should get that foul fest at the end of the game. I say 148 or more here.  

 

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