Tonight the NC State Wolfpack will take on the Pittsburgh Panthers in the 2nd round of the ACC Tournament, which will be played at the Greensboro Coliseum in Greensboro, North Carolina. The game has a start time of 7:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN 2 and the ACC Network. Current Vegas betting odds have the Wolfpack listed as 3 point favorites, while the total is set at 129.5.
Analysis: The NC State Wolfpack finished the regular season with a 5-1 run, so they have been playing well of late. The Wolfpack is now 19-12 on the year and they finished in a tie for 6th in the ACC with Miami at 10-8. The Wolfpack has gone 14-1-1 ATS in their last 16 Wednesday games, and 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 vs. the ACC. NC State has been a decent offensive team this year, as they come in ranked 92nd in scoring (70.6 ppg), 164th in shooting (43.7%), 90th in 3 point shooting (36.3%) and 225th in FT shooting (68.0%). Defensively the Wolfpack has been decent, ranking 134th in points allowed (64.9 ppg), 42nd in defensive FG% (39.8%) and 106th in 3 point defense (32.9%).
The Pitt Panthers have not been strong down the stretch as they have lost their last 3 games, while being a favorite in all 3 games. The losses now have Pitt at 19-13 overall for the year, while in they ACC they finished with an 8-10 mark.Pittsburgh has gone just 8-23-2 ATS in their last 33 games following a ATS loss and 18-37-3 ATS in their last 58 games overall. The Panthers have been a rather average offensive team this year, ranking 181st in scoring (67.3 ppg), 107th in shooting (44.7%), 183rd in 3 point shooting (34.1%) and 178th in FT shooting (69.2%). The defense for this team has been decent as they come in ranked 144th in points allowed (65.3 ppg), 282nd in defensive FG% (45.0%) and 253rd in 3 point defense (35.5%).
Pick: Going with the Under here. Pittsburgh has played in some high scoring games this year, but lately that has not been the case as their last 5 games have averaged just 128 ppg. Pittsburgh scores just 60 ppg on the road and NC State comes in playing excellent defense, allowing just 59.2 ppg in their last 5 games. NC State is not a great offensive team and Pitt can play defense as well as they have allowed just 64.6 ppg in their last 5 games. Should be a slow paced game that is played in the lower 120s.
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