Last week we launched my "Line-Predictions" Blog, and were able to accurately predict the move on "13 of the 14" selections...And the only one that didn't move, sat idle...
Now don't get me wrong, those results are not what should normally occur...And truth is, my goal is to be able to achieve around "60% Accuracy" on these "Line-Predictions"....Because if I am able to do that, then it means we will be able to get the "BEST LINE" on the majority of our bets for those match-ups we attempt this for...Which ultimately increases overall "Win %" by simply knowing when to bet the game...
I believe that today's handicappers just don't try to do this enough...While the older, winning sports bettors are famous for knowing when to get down and always make it a priority to get the "BEST NUMBER"...
There are a lot of factors to consider...and I'm the first to admit that it takes a lot of experience, and more importantly...a lot of information gathering and interpreting...and finally, having that "X-Factor" that is known as "Feel"...And because it does take a lot of work, many handicappers and sports bettors alike, routinely leave this out of thier handicapping each week...
Well, we are going to try to change that...by all working together to try and help each other determine and decide when to make certain bets...And by practicing doing this, I can promise you that we will all improve our results...as well as become more efficient at predicting the "market reaction" for all match-ups and sports...
So let's get right to this week's "Line-Predictions"...because I was able to begin gathering info even earlier, which has allowed me to feel comfortable about trying to predict even more "moves" than last week...VR
"LINE-MOVE PREDICTIONS" (NCAAFB & NFL) for the Week of 11-10-09 to 11-16-09 :
NCAAFB "LINE-PREDICTIONS" : (GAME.....CURRENT LINE.....PROJECTION) =
1.) W VIR at CINCI.....Thur Total = OVER/UNDER 55.....Projection : UP
2.) CLEMSON at NC ST.....Thur Line = CLEM -8.....Projection : UP
3.) KENTUCKY at VANDI.....Thur Line = KEN -3....Projection : UP
4.) TEXAS at BAYLOR.....Thur Total = OVER/UNDER 52.....Projection : UP
5.) UAB at MEMPHIS.....Thur Total = OVER/UNDER 63.5.....Projection : DOWN
6.) UCLA at WASH ST.....Thur Line = UCLA -17.5.....Projection : DOWN
7.) IDAHO at BOISE ST.....Thur Total = OVER/UNDER 64.....Projection : UP
8.) STANFORD at USC.....Thur Line = USC -11.....Projection : DOWN
9.) ARIZONA ST at OREGON.....Thur Line = OREGON -18.....Projection : UP
10.) SJ ST at UTAH ST.....Thur Line = UTAH ST -12.5.....Projection : UP
11.) WASH at ORE ST.....Thur Line = ORE ST -13.....Projection : UP
12.) FLA at S CAR.....Thur Line = FLA -17.....Projection : UP
13.) ARK ST at FLA ATL.....Thur Line = ARK ST -3.5.....Projection : UP
14.) UL-LAF at MTSU.....Thur Line = MTSU -13.....Projection : UP
NFL "LINE-PREDICTIONS" =
1.) BUF at TENN.....Thur Line : TENN -7.....Projection : UP (Books don't like coming off 7, especially in NFL..But the ONLY way I can see this moving is UP)
2.) DET at MIN.....Thur Line : MIN -16.5.....Projection : UP
3.) NO at STL.....Thur Line : NO -14.5.....Projection : DOWN
4.) BAL at CLE.....Thur Line : BAL -10.5.....Projection : UP
I felt comfortable making a "Line-Prediction" on those 18 Match-Ups...and we'll shoot for 60% Accuracy again this week...
Please feel free to pass along any insight, comments, or questions that you may have...Like I said in the first week's blog...I really want to continue trying to improve this blog like we've been able to do with the "TRUE STEAM"...Because these are handicapping tools for all of us to share...
Thanks again for all your support, and best of luck...Vegas-Runner