Betting at the best possible number is KEY to sports betting success. An easy way to get the best number is to have as many outs as possible - five book may have -3, but the sixth may have -2.5 (take a look at www.PregameAction.com for the best deals from trusted sportsbooks). Wiseguys, though, have an added weapon in their arsenal - WHEN they bet.
My specialty is reading the sports betting market. I use my contacts with other sharps and bookmakers (for example, www.twitter.com/bookiebill to make educated guesses about which way the money will come in, and how lines will likely move. Remember, NO ONE is perfect with such predictions - but Wiseguys who are able to predict moves correctly 6 out of 10 times are getting a superior number 6 out of 10 times. Edges like that are what separates armatures from pros.
Each week I will tell you the games with the best chance of moving. If a game you are going to bet is on the list, bet it now if the expected move is against you; wait as late as possible if the projected move will be to your favor.
Line Move Predictions for the weekend of November 6, 2009
NCAAFB : (GAME....TODAY's LINE....PREDICTED MOVE)
1.) NORTHWESTERN at IOWA....Thur LINE = IOWA -16.5....PROJECTION : DOWN
2.) BYU at WYOMING....Thur LINE = BYU -13....PROJECTION : UP
3.) NAVY at NOTRE DAME....Thur LINE = N. DAME -12....PROJRCTION : UP
4.) KENT ST at AKRON....Thur LINE = KENT ST -3.5....PROJECTION : UP
5.) OHIO ST at PENN ST....Thur LINE = PSU -4....PROJECTION : UP
6.) WASHINGTON at UCLA....Thur LINE = UCLA -5....PROJECTION : UP
7.) MEMPHIS at TENNESSEE....Thur LINE = TENN -25.5....PROJECTION : UP
8.) FRESNO ST at IDAHO....Thur LINE = FRESNO ST -7.5....PROJECTION : UP
9.) USC at ARIZONA....Thur LINE = USC -10.5....PROJECTION : DOWN
10.) UTAH ST at HAWAII....Thur LINE = UTAH ST -2.5....PROJECTION : DOWN
NFL (GAME....TODAY's LINE....PREDICTED MOVE)
1.) KANSAS CITY at JACKSONVILLE....Thur LINE : O/U 42....PROJECTION : DOWN
2.) DALLAS at PHILADELPHIA....Thur LINE : O/U 48....PROJECTION : UP
3.) PITTSBURGH at DENVER....Thur LINE : O/U 39....PROJECTION : UP
This is a project that RJ and myself have been discussing for a long time now...And we both agreed that if we can help guide bettors, and advise them in being able to get the best possible numbers, for games they are looking to bet...that it would be a huge asset...
Those of you who are clients of mine, know that I try to do this for a lot of the bets that I pass along to you...especially when I am able to "Confirm" a line move from one of my sources...And this has really helped us greatly to win plenty of games, that we may have lost or pushed otherwise...
Please keep in mind that this is the initial trial run...and I want to work on improving this each and every week, just like we've been able to do with my "TRUE STEAM" Blog...
I actually just presented this to a handful of my sources last night...and I am sure that as we go forward, the runners, wiseguys, & bookmakers that I know will also help me bring you even stronger info as we go forward...And they will also help me decide when the best day to write this would be...
Please feel free to pass along any comments or questions...because as I said above, this is one of the ways that I can show my appreciation for all the Pregame Community who continues to show me so much support...And if I can help even one bettor be able to take a better position on a game each week...then it will be worth all the work that goes into it...
Thanks again, and Best of Luck...Vegas-Runner