Every Girl has her own way of using a dress, and every bettor does the same with a trend.

I submit that EVERY trend has an equal and opposite trend to counter it. We can argue the relative merit of that statement, so I'll throw out a perfect example of what I'm talking about. If you disagree, then feel free to counter my claim:

"Louisville is 11-2 ATS off a road win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons." YAY! Let's take the Cards!!!!!!

"Louisville is 8-20 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less since 1997."  YAY! Let's take the Irish!

Which way do we go?

The person that reads the 11-2 ATS information might never see the 8-20 ATS trend because each line was used by separate cappers to peddle their pick. Those two trends will also be separated in the data streams due to the natural segregation of "Hot" and "Cold" indicators. Cappers use trends as window dressing on their plays, as they lend a certain amount of legitimacy to any line of reasoning.

And, Correct me if I'm wrong, but is there a player that was on the Louisville team in 1997 that is playing tonight?

Long Term trends are lipstick on a pig, but if you choose to use them, make sure the trend doesn't extend past the service time of the senior class, and NEVER use a long term trend that bases 80% of it's history on coaches, players, and systems that are no longer active, or (gasp) alive!

This is just a rant. And I will accept any, and all, contrary opinions with open ears.