The following article is from Stan Sharp as told to (and
posted by) a Pregame.com staff writer. We have convinced Stan to sit
for an occassional interview that we'd convert into an article.
Stan Sharp took the time to discuss some of the Key Line Moves this week as we will call this series "Inside the Steam"
Iowa @ Wisconsin
Wisconsin Opened pick now -2.5
This line actually Opened at Iowa (-1.5) at one of the Vegas Casinos but Cris opened it at a Pick and it was bet to Wisconsin (-2.5) right away. So is this true steam? Stan says no and here's why. The sharps know that the betting public loves to take home teams in a pick the Winner situation. With that said the sharps grab the Home team right away to secure the best number knowing that as the week progresses the public will follow what looks like a steam move and continue to bet the home team. This line will hit 3 by Saturday and once it does the sharps will buy back the dog here. Stan notes the public will bet Wisconsin because they look and say Iowa had two close games only beating Michigan by 2 points. It must be noted that Iowa was down 7-0 right away last week as they threw a Int that was returned for a TD in the first minute of the game. Stan also notes that Michigan changed QB's in the second half and the back up QB who Iowa hadn't prepared for scored a late TD to make it a 2 point final. Iowa's game wasn't as close as the score would indicate. Lastly because everyone saw Wisconsin play Ohio St tough last week they naturally expect them to bounce back at home. Public will push this line up and the Wise Guys will bet Iowa late is how Stan sees this game. This is not a Steam Move but a position play. Stan says he has to respect that the Vegas Casinos opened the game with Iowa as favorite.
Central Michigan @ Western Michigan
Western Michigan Opened +7.5 now +6.5
Stan notes that this move came in early as the sharps wanted Western Michigan (+7.5) right away. Stan believes this to be true steam as last saturday when the public was all over Toledo against W. Michigan the Vegas Casinos got hit hard with W. Michigan money on Saturday late dropping the line to +7 after the line had reached 8.5 and 9 with all the Toledo money. W. Michigan won 58-26. Stan says the Wise Guys wanted this number and bet it now not taking a chance of waiting and have number drop to 7 and lose value. This is a True Steam Move as they got the number they wanted and anyone wanting to piggy back the move lost all value with this line sitting under a TD.
Kent @ Eastern Michigan
Kent Opened -3.5 now -6.5
Stan notes that for the second week in a row the Wise Guys hit Kent hard and they did it early. Last Week they bet them early against Bowling Green and got the money and they have done it again this week. Stan feels that the Wise Guy believe that Vegas is way off on this team and thus they are taking advantage of it before Vegas adjusts their weak numbers. Stan says the move on Kent is True Steam.
Kansas City @ Washington
Washington Opened -5 now -6.5
Cris opened this line at Washington -5 and had it immediately go to -6.5. Vegas was ahead of the curve as they brought this number out at -6.5 as Stan feels that this is the right number. Stan says that the early positioning of Washington money has to be respected because after last weeks results the public would bet Kansas City coming off the overtime loss to Dallas. No one should want Washington after all they just lost to winless Carolina. With all that said the Wise Guys didn't wait they grabbed Washington not taking a chance of waiting and possibly have the line hit 7. The Wise Guys wanted Washington and they got them. This is True Steam.
Stan Sharp is a Professional Bettor in Las Vegas that has won 57.5% of his plays over a 30+ month period. Stan only bets one game a day
but the work begins early in the week as Stan monitors how the lines move and why the money is being bet the way it is.
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