Pregame Blogs

Pregame Blogs

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Stats Matter - A Guide to Handicapping the Bowl Games

By Marc Lawrence

Smart handicappers alike agree on one thing - preparation is the key to success. The better prepared you are the better chance you stand at succeeding.

With the 2010 College Bowl season now upon us it's time to get ready for the thirty-five games that await. While a myriad of different techniques and approaches exist one simple element is often overlooked and that is how teams are or have been performing on the playing field ‘In The Stats' (ITS) as they enter into its bowl game.

As handicappers we know better than most that the scoreboard does not tell the entire story. Like a doctor examining an MRI or an X-Ray it's vitally important to look inside the patient before rendering a diagnosis.

Listed below are noteworthy results of how the 70 bowl teams have fared ITS overall or most recently this season...

Air Force - 11-1 ITS this season

Alabama - 11-1 ITS this season

Arizona - 10-2 ITS this season

Arkansas - 9-2-1 ITS this season

Army - 0-4 ITS L4 games season

Auburn - 12-1 ITS this season

Baylor - 1-3 ITS L4 games season

Boise State - 11-1 ITS this season

Boston College - 5-1 ITS L6 games season

BYU - 4-1 ITS L5 games season

Central Florida - 2-3 ITS L5 games season

Clemson - 4-7 ITS this season

Connecticut - 1-6 ITS L7 games season

East Carolina -1-4 ITS L5 games season

Florida - held 4 foes season low yards

Florida International - 8-4 ITS this season

Florida State - 1-4 ITS L5 games season

Fresno State - 11-1 ITS this season

Georgia - 1-4 ITS L5 games season

Georgia Tech - 2-3 ITS L5 games season

Hawaii - 11-2 ITS this season

Illinois - held 5 foes 1-2 season low yards

Iowa - 0-3 ITS L3 games season

Kansas State - 0-6 ITS L6 games season

Kentucky - 4-1 ITS L5 games season

LSU -held 3 foes season low yards

Louisville - 8-4 ITS this season

Maryland - 5-7 ITS this season

Miami Fla - 7-0 ITS L7 games season

Miami Oh - 5-0 ITS L5 games season

Michigan - allowed 4 teams season high yards

Michigan State - 10-2 ITS this season

Mid Tennessee State - 2-6 ITS L8 games season

Mississippi State - 3-3 ITS L6 games season

Missouri - 2-3 ITS L5 games season

Navy - 4-5 ITS L9 games season

Nebraska - held 6 foes 1-2 season low yards

Nevada - 10-3 ITS this season

North Carolina - 8-4 ITS this season

NC State - 3-3 ITS L6 games season

Northern Illinois - 10-3 ITS this season

Northwestern - 1-3 ITS L4 games season

Notre Dame - 4-2 ITS L6 games season

Ohio State - held 10 foes 1-2 season low yards

Ohio U - 4-8 ITS this season

Oklahoma - held 5 foes 1-2 season low yards

Oklahoma State - 9-3 ITS this season

Oregon - 11-1 ITS this season

Penn State - 4-1 ITS L5 games season

Pittsburgh - 9-0 ITS L9 games season

San Diego State - 5-1 ITS L6 games season

SMU - 8-1 ITS L9 games season

South Carolina - 8-4 ITS this season

South Florida - 2-6 ITS L8 games season

Southern Miss - 9-3 ITS this season

Stanford - 10-2 ITS this season

Syracuse - 1-6 ITS L7 games season

TCU - 12-0 ITS this season

Tennessee - 4-0 ITS L4 games season

Texas A&M - 9-3 ITS this season

Texas El Paso - 1-5 ITS L6 games season

Texas Tech - allowed 3 teams season high yards

Toledo - 4-2 ITS L6 games season

Troy - 8-4 ITS this season

Tulsa - 9-3 ITS this season

Utah - 9-3 ITS this season

Virginia Tech - held 5 foes season low yards

Washington - 3-0 ITS L3 games season

West Virginia - held 6 foes 1-2 low yards

Wisconsin - 10-2 ITS this season

Given the fact that teams who outgain their opponent win the game better than 80% of the time, and straight-up winners in bowl games being 539-93-10 ATS since 1980, it's crucial to your success when evaluating a team's chance of winning the yardage wars.

Just another slant on handicapping the Bowl contests. Add it to your arsenal and enjoy the games!

 

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