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Cheat Sheet: Philadelphia Sixers at Miami Heat - 4/16/2011

Philadelphia Sixers at Miami Heat [ABC | 3:30 PM ET]
Team Tips Top Trends Key Injuries

SIXERS: Philadelphia has had a great season, and they enter the playoffs without a shred of pressure. That's because the Sixers are facing the daunting task of playing Miami, a team they were swept by in the regular season. The SIxers ended the regular season with a 41-41 SU and 46-35-1 ATS record. In order to do the improbable, the Sixers will have to win a game in Miami. Philadelphia has really struggled on the road this year, as they are just 15-26 SU and 23-17 ATS this season. The Sixers are 25-18 ATS as the listed underdog this year, including 3-1 ATS as a road underdog between 9.5 and 12 points. F Elton Brand is averaging team highs of 15 PPG and 8.4 RPG for Philadelphia this season. PG Jrue Holiday is going to grow up fast playing the Heat in the playoffs, and earn much needed experience. Holiday is averaging 14 PPG and a team high 6.5 APG this year. The Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as the listed underdog. Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. Philadelphia is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning SU record. The Sixers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Sixers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest. Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss. The Sixers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Philadelphia is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Projected Score: 86

Sixers are 0-6 ATS last 6 games against the Eastern Conference.

Over is 16-5 last 21 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

G Louis Williams (hamstring) is questionable.

HEAT: (-10.5, O/U 190) The playoffs are finally here, and Miami is playing some of their best basketball of the season. At some sportsbooks, the Heat are the listed favorite to win the NBA Championship. With tempo slowing down, the Heat are expected to dominate with their trio of stars. Most importantly, Miami can unleash their strong half court defense on their opposition. The Heat are 58-24 SU and 40-41-1 ATS overall this season. Miami is 30-11 SU and 15-25 ATS in home games played this season. The Heat are 4-5 ATS as a home favorite between 9.5 and 12 points this year. Miami was an 11 and 8 point home favorite against Philadelphia this season. The Heat won all 3 meetings against the Sixers by at least 9 points. Defensively, Miami allowed just 94.6 PPG this season, 6th best in the NBA. F LeBron James and G Dwyane Wade are prolific scorers, each able to take over a game. F Chris Bosh averaged 18.7 PPG and a team high 8.3 RPG this season for the Heat. The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Atlantic Division. Miami is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Miami is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as the listed favorite. Miami is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest.

Projected Score: 97 (UNDER-Total of the Day)

Heat are 4-10 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.

Under is 8-2 last 10 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.

F Mike Miller (thumb) is probable.
Portland Trailblazers at Dallas Mavericks [ESPN | 9:30 PM ET]
Team Tips Top Trends Key Injuries

TRAILBLAZERS: Portland enters the playoffs in fine form, thanks to the play of forwards LaMarcus Aldridge and Gerald Wallace. The Blazers are incredibly athletic, and many expect them to be the team that advances out of all the lower seeds in the playoffs. The Blazers are 48-34 SU and 43-36-3 ATS overall this season. If Portland has a glaring weakness, it's their play away from home. The Blazers are 18-23 SU and 18-19 ATS in road games this season. Portland is 18-19 ATS as the listed underdog this year, including 2-5 ATS as a road underdog between 3.5 and 6 points. 3 of their 4 meetings with Dallas this season ended within 5 points, so the Blazers know they can compete with the higher seeded Mavericks. Portland allowed just 94.8 PPG this season, 7th fewest in the NBA. Aldridge led the Blazers in scoring this year, averaging 21.8 PPG. Aldridge shot 50% from the field this year, while also turning into an elite go to scorer closing out games. Wallace is averaging 15.8 PPG and 7.6 RPG since coming to Portland, while also providing leadership and toughness that has been invaluable to the team. The Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Portland is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Portland is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as the listed underdog. The Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Portland is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the Western Conference. The Blazers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as the listed underdog. The Blazers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games. Portland is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.

Projected Score: 93 (SIDE of the Day)

Trailblazers are 5-0 ATS last 5 games following a SU loss.

Under is 9-3 last 12 games as a road underdog.

None Reported.

MAVERICKS: (-5, O/U 186) Plenty of questions surround Dallas as they enter the postseason. The Mavericks actually ended the regular season with 4 consecutive SU win. While fairly one dimensional, the Mavericks are a stronger defensive team this postseason than any of their recent previous appearances. The Mavericks enter the playoffs with a 57-25 SU and 44-36-2 ATS record. Dallas is 29-12 SU and 19-20 ATS in home games this year. Dallas is 3-3 ATS as a home favorite between 3.5 and 6 points this year. The Mavericks need to show some grit, especially in the pain, when facing the athletic Blazers. F Dirk Nowitzki is the key Maverick, as he averages a team high 23 PPG, while shooting nearly 52% from the field. PG Jason Kidd needs to have a strong series for Dallas to advance. Kidd averages 7.9 PPG and 4.4 RPG, along with a team high 8.2 APG this season. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as the listed favorite. Dallas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Western Conference. The Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win. Dallas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. The Mavericks are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.

Projected Score: 92

Mavericks are 4-0 ATS last 4 games overall.

Under is 7-0 last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.

G Rodrique Beaubois (foot) is questionable.

I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer... Read more

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