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04/23/2011 7:31 PM
HEAT: (-6, O/U 187.5) Miami is playing like the team to beat during the NBA Playoffs. The Heat have alternated huge performances from their Big Three so far in the postseason. Miami is up 3-0 in their best of 7 first round series with Philadelphia, with a chance to sweep them this afternoon. The Heat are also 2-1 ATS in this series as well, proving they are playing well considering the inflated lines Miami faces at this time of year. Miami is 29-13 SU and 25-16 ATS in road games this season. The Heat are 10-1 ATS as a road favorite between 3.5 and 6 points this season. The Heat are 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS against Philadelphia this season, including this playoff series. F LeBron James has been amazing in this series, as he's averaging Heat highs of 24.7 PPG, 12 RPG, and 5.7 APG. F Chris Bosh is averaging 21.7 PPG and 9.7 RPG against the Sixers in this playoff series. The Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. Miami is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Miami is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Eastern Conference. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Miami is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Heat are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 2 days rest.
Projected Score: 94
Heat are 5-0 ATS last 5 games as a road favorite.
Over is 13-3 last 16 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%.
SIXERS: Philadelphia has one last chance at winning a playoff game before their season comes to an end. The Sixers will try to stave off elimination, just like the Pacers were able to do at home in Game 4. Unfortunately, Philadelphia hasn't been nearly as competitive as they had hoped against Miami. The Sixers are 26-16 SU and 23-19 ATS in home games overall this season. Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS as a home underdog between 3.5 and 6 points this year. In their previous 2 meetings at home against the Heat, Philadelphia has been an 8 and 4.5 home underdog. PG Jrue Holiday has been one of the bright spots for the Sixers, as he's played well in his first playoff series. Holiday is averaging a team high 17 PPG, along with 5 APG against the Heat. F Elton Brand is averaging 13.7 PPG and a team high 8.3 RPG during the playoffs. The Sixers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. Philadelphia is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Sixers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 2 days rest. Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Sixers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. The Sixers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Philadelphia is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Projected Score: 93 (SIDE of the Day)
76ers are 0-5 ATS last 5 home games.
Under is 8-1 last 9 games overall.
CELTICS: (-3.5, O/U 195.5) Boston will be motivated to sweep the Knicks today, because this veteran group would appreciate a few days off. The Celtics are coming off of arguably the most dominant team performance of the playoffs, as they beat New York by 17 points on the road. PG Rajon Rondo had a career defining game in Game 3, as he had 15 points, 11 rebounds, and 20 assists. The Celtics are 24-18 SU and 19-23 ATS in road games this season. Boston is 2-5 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or fewer this year. F Paul Pierce is averaging a team high 25.3 PPG this postseason for the Celtics. F Kevin Garnett is averaging 12 PPG and a team high 11.7 RPG in the playoffs for Boston. The Celtics are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 Sunday games. Boston is 10-26-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a SU win. The Celtics are 16-43-1 ATS in their last 60 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Celtics are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS win. Boston is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Projected Score: 96 (UNDER-Total of the Day)
Celtics are 7-3 ATS last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Under is 13-3 last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
KNICKS: New York is tired, both mentally and physically as the enter Game 4 tonight. The Knicks were dominated in Game 3, as they lost 96-113 SU in front of their home fans as a 3 point favorite. New York has one last chance to avoid being swept, but few are giving them much of a chance. That's basically due to the poor health of PG Chauncey Billups and F Amar'e Stoudemire. F Carmelo Anthony is doing everything he can to keep New York competitive, but it's clearly not enough. Anthony is averaging team highs of 24.7 PPG and 10.7 RPG this playoff series. F Jared Jeffries is averaging 8.3 PPG and 6.7 RPG for the Knicks in the postseason. The Knicks are 23-19 SU and 20-21 ATS in home games this season. New York is 2-3 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or fewer this year. The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. New York is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Sunday games. The Knicks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. New York is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Eastern Conference. The Knicks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss. New York is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record.
Projected Score: 93
Knicks are 0-4 ATS last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Over is 7-1 last 8 home games.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer...
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