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03/12/2011 8:25 PM
BLUE DEVILS: (-3, O/U 145.5) Duke is coming off a dominating win over Virginia Tech to advance to the ACC Championship game. The Blue Devils have looked like the defending national champions during this conference tournament, as they also beat Maryland by double figures. Duke is 29-4 SU and 18-14 ATS overall this season. With a SU win today, the Blue Devils are all but assured a #1 seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. Duke is averaging more than 81 PPG, 9th most in the country. So far in conference tournament play, Duke is averaging 82 PPG. G Nolan Smith continues to dominate this season, as he's averaging team highs of 21.1 PPG and 5.1 APG this year. The Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite up to 6.5 points. Duke is 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 Sunday games. The Blue Devils are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%.
Projected Score: 78 (SIDE of the Day)
Blue Devils are 7-3 ATS last 10 neutral site games as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%.
TAR HEELS: North Carolina has improved more this season than any other team in the country. With 1 more win, the Tar Heels will be ACC Champions, and have a legit argument for a #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. North Carolina has won 2 nail biters in the ACC Tournament, as they beat Miami by 2 points, and went to overtime against Clemson. The Tar Heels are 27-6 SU and 15-14-1 ATS overall this season. North Carolina is 3-1 ATS as the listed underdog this year. The young Tar Heels beat Duke the last time they faced them, so they will take that confidence into this today. All 6 of North Carolina's losses SU have come away from home. F Tyler Zeller is averaging a team high 14.5 PPG for the Tar Heels this year. F John Henson is averaging 11.3 PPG, as well as team highs of 9.8 RPG and 3.2 BPG this season. The Tar Heels are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. North Carolina is 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Tar Heels are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games against the ACC. North Carolina is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 Sunday games. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
Projected Score: 68
Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS last 8 games as an underdog.
Under is 7-3 last 10 games overall.
G Reggie Bullock (knee) is out.
BUCKEYES: (-9.5, O/U 127.5) Ohio St. can legitimately claim they are the best team in the nation with a win today in the Big Ten Championship. The Buckeyes should be the overall #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament with their 3rd win of the season against Penn St today. Ohio St. is 31-2 SU and 15-15 ATS overall this year. The Buckeyes are a perfect 6-0 ATS as a single digit favorite this season. While they've advanced to the tournament finale, the Buckeyes have yet to win ATS in the tournament. Ohio St. was a 6 and 17.5 point favorite against Penn St. in their 2 meetings this season. F Jared Sullinger has been a man-child this year, as he's leading the Buckeyes with 17.4 PPG and 10 RPG. G William Buford is 2nd on the team in scoring, averaging 14.2 PPG this year. G David Lighty is averaging 12.2 PPG and 3.3 APG for the Buckeyes this season. The Buckeyes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Sunday games. Ohio St. is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Projected Score: 67 (UNDER-Total of the Day)
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0 last 4 Sunday games.
NITTANY LIONS: Penn St. has been the biggest surprise of the conference tournament season, as they have come out of nowhere to compete for the Big Ten Tournament championship. In making it to the conference finals, the Nittany Lions have a great chance at getting their NCAA Tournament ticket punched. The Nittany Lions are hoping their 3rd opportunity is the charm, as they've lost both meetings to the Buckeyes this season. Penn St. has played amazing defense while slowing down the tempo of the game, as they've allowed just 81 points combined to Wisconsin and Michigan St. Penn St. is likely to try the same tactics today, in order to negate the talent gap on the floor. Penn St. is 19-13 SU and 16-10-2 ATS overall this season. Penn St. is 11-7 ATS as the listed underdog this season. G Talor Battle will have to come up big today for the Nittany Lions to have any chance at pulling the upset. Battle is averaging a team high 19.8 PPG this season, along with 4.4 RPG and 3.0 APG this season. The Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Penn St. is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Nittany Lions are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as an underdog between 7 and 12.5 points.
Projected Score: 54
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS last 5 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-0 last 5 games against a team with a winning SU record.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer...
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