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04/07/2011 8:26 PM
NUGGETS: Denver is all but guaranteed the 5th seed in the Western Conference. The only debate is whether they will be facing Oklahoma City or Dallas. The Nuggets have been one of the best stories of the NBA season, as they've proven their is life to a franchise after trading away a superstar. Since trading Carmelo Anthony to the Knicks, Denver has been one of the best teams in the NBA. The Nuggets are 48-30 SU and 41-33-4 ATS overall this season. Denver is 17-22 SU and 22-16-1 ATS on the road this season. In order for the Nuggets to win in the playoffs, they will need to win away from home. Denver is averaging an NBA high 107.1 PPG this season, thanks to a rotation that goes 10 players deep. F Danilo Galinari is averaging a team high 15.5 PPG since coming over from New York. C Nene Hilario is averaging 14.6 PPG and a team high 7.7 RPG for Denver this season. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. Denver is 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS win. The Nuggets are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Nuggets are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win. Denver is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games. The Nuggets are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Denver is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
Projected Score: 93
Nuggets are 7-0 ATS last 7 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%.
Under is 5-0 last 5 games following a SU win.
THUNDER: (-4, O/U 202) Oklahoma City is within 1 game of the Dallas Mavericks for the 3rd seed in the Western Conference. After getting a taste of the postseason last year, the Thunder are expecting big things this postseason. Therefore, the young Thunder understand how important it is to finish the regular season with the highest seeding possible. Oklahoma City is 52-26 SU and 40-37-1 ATS overall this season. The Thunder are 29-10 SU and 19-19-1 ATS in home games this year. Oklahoma City is as healthy as any team entering the postseason. The Thunder are really focused on their defense, thanks to the addition of C Kendrick Perkins. Adding Perkins gives the Thunder a viable defensive presence in the paint against the Lakers and Spurs. F Kevin Durant leads the NBA in scoring at 27.8 PPG this season. PG Russell Westbrook is averaging 21.8 PPG and a team high 8.2 APG this year. The Thunder are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. Oklahoma City is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 Friday games. The Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win. Oklahoma City is 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games against the Western Conference. The Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Projected Score: 101 (UNDER-Total of the Day)
Thunder are 4-0 ATS last 4 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 11-4 last 15 games overall.
SUNS: Phoenix has played well in their past 2 games, a surprise considering this veteran team has absolutely nothing to play for. The Suns have been eliminated from playoff contention, so they are simply playing for pride. With one of the oldest teams in the NBA, many thought this team would fold up their tent the moment they were mathematically eliminated from the playoffs. Instead, the Suns are coming off a road win over Minnesota, and a near road win over Chicago. Phoenix is 38-40 SU and 36-39-3 ATS overall this season. The Suns are 17-22 SU and 21-16-2 ATS on the road this year. PG Steve Nash is averaging 15.1 PPG and an NBA high 11.4 APG this season. C Marcin Gortat is averaging 12.7 PPG and a team high 9.4 RPG for the Suns since coming over from Orlando earlier this season. The Suns are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record. Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games. The Suns are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games following an ATS win. Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against the Western Conference. The Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Projected Score: 102 (SIDE of the Day)
Suns are 7-2-1 ATS last 10 road games.
Over is 7-3 last 10 games against a team with a winning SU record.
HORNETS: (-5.5, O/U 199.5) New Orleans has clinched a playoff berth, a much needed feat for the Hornets organization. There are grave concerns that PG Chris Paul is going to leave the Hornets for the bright lights of New York. A playoff upset would really help New Orleans in attempting to convince Paul to stay. New Orleans still has work to do before the playoff start, as they can finish anywhere between #6 and #8 in the Western Conference. The Hornets are 45-33 SU and 38-38-2 ATS overall this season. New Orleans is 27-12 SU and 19-19-1 ATS in home games this season. New Orleans has had some time to deal with the loss of David West. F Carl Landry has stepped in admirably for the Hornets, as he's providing much needed toughness to the Hornets. Paul is averaging 16.3 PPG and a team high 9.8 APG this season. C Emeka Okafor is averaging 10.5 PPG and a team high 9.7 RPG and 1.8 BPG this year for the Hornets. The Hornets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Friday games. New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The Hornets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Projected Score: 98
Hornets are 4-0-1 ATS last 5 games against a team with a losing SU record.
Under is 21-10 last 31 home games.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer...
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