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06/01/2011 9:48 PM · dustin galgano
MAVERICKS: Dallas finds themselves trailing the Miami Heat 0-1 in their NBA Championship series. Of greater concern is the health of injured star F Dirk Nowitzki. Nowitzki has a torn tendon on his left hand, which even he stated will bother him for the rest of the NBA Finals. Dallas is 69-29 SU and 56-39-3 ATS overall this season. The Mavericks are 33-16 SU and 32-17 ATS in road games this year. Dallas is 9-4 ATS as a road underdog between 3.5 and 6 points this season. The Mavericks are 13-3 ATS in the playoffs this year. Losing Game 1 was the first time this entire season that the Mavericks lost to the Heat. Dallas shot just 37% from the field in Game 1, a far cry from their efficient offensive play throughout the playoffs. Nowitzki had a game high 27 points in the losing effort, including a perfect 12-12 from the free throw line. F Shawn Marion was the only other starter to score in double figures, as he had 16 points and a team high 10 rebounds. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss. Dallas is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%. The Mavericks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog. Dallas is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest. The Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against the Southeast Division. Dallas is 13-37-2 ATS in their last 52 Thursday games.
Projected Score: 95
Mavericks are 19-7-1 ATS last 27 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-2-1 last 8 games following an ATS loss.
HEAT: (-4.5, O/U 187) Miami was able to overcome a 1 point halftime deficit, and ultimately win 92-84 SU. The win gives the Heat a 1-0 lead in the best of 7 NBA Finals. Miami is trying to duplicate what they accomplished in 2006, when they beat the Dallas for the NBA Championship. LeBron James had a team high 24 points, along with 9 rebounds and 5 assists in the Game 1 victory. G Dwyane Wade led the Heat with 10 rebounds and 6 assists, while also contributing 22 points. The Heat were able to make 11 3 pointers in Game 1, with 5 of them coming from their reserves. Miami is 71-27 SU and 51-46-1 ATS overall this season. The Heat are 39-11 SU and 22-27 ATS in home games overall this year. Miami is 8-4 ATS as a home favorite between 3.5 and 6 points this season. The Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as the listed favorite. Miami is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win. Miami is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The Heat are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. Miami is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Projected Score: 99 (OVER-Total of the Day)
Heat are 7-0 ATS last 7 playoff games as the listed favorite.
Over is 7-1 last 8 playoff games as the listed favorite.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer... Read more
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