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03/23/2011 8:32 PM
HUSKIES: (-1, O/U 130) No team has been more impressive over their past 7 games than Connecticut. The Huskies are a perfect 7-0 SU in that stretch, including their improbable run through to the Big East Conference Tournament Championship. UCONN is 7-0 ATS during the same stretch, including 3 wins as the listed underdog. UCONN is 28-9 SU and 20-11 ATS overall this season. The Huskies have been a huge surprise this season, as they weren't ranked in the Top 25 polls in the preseason. UCONN is a perfect 10-0 SU and ATS in neutral court settings this year. The Huskies are 2-0 ATS as the listed favorite up to 3 points on a neutral court this season. G Kemba Walker is amazing, easily one of the best talents in the country. Walker is averaging team highs of 23.6 PPG and 4.5 APG this year. C Alex Oriakhi is averaging 9.8 PPG and a team high 8.7 RPG this season. The Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as the listed favorite. Connecticut is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Huskies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Connecticut is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. The Huskies are 25-8 ATS in their last 33 games following a SU win.
Projected Score: 63
Huskies are 8-0 ATS last 8 non-conference games.
Over is 8-3 last 11 NCAA Tournament games as the listed favorite.
AZTECS: San Diego St. has made it to the Sweet 16 for the 1st time in school history. The Aztecs survived Temple in their last game, a thrilling double OT win. San Diego St. is 2-0 ATS in the NCAA Tournament thus far. The Aztecs are 34-2 SU and 22-12 ATS overall this season. San Diego St. is an amazing 19-1 SU away from home this year. While technically on a neutral court tonight, the Aztecs are a mere 90 minute drive from San Diego tonight. The Aztecs are 4-4 ATS in neutral court settings this year. San Diego St. has a dominant front line, and they will get the ultimate test tonight against UCONN. F Kahwi Leonard leads the Aztecs with 15.6 PPG and 10.6 RPG this year. PG D.J. Gay is averaging 11 PPG and a team high 3.2 APG this season. Defensively, the Aztecs will focus on limiting Kemba Walker, just like they did Jimmer Fredette from BYU. The Aztecs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win. San Diego St. is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. San Diego St. is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as the listed underdog. The Aztecs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. San Diego St. is 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%.
Projected Score: 68 (SIDE of the Day)
Aztecs are 4-0 ATS last 4 neutral site games.
Under is 8-3 last 11 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%.
WILDCATS: Arizona might as well be called the Cardiac Cats, as they've won each of their NCAA Tournament games at the slimmest of margins. The Wildcats have outscored their opponents by a total of 3 points in their 2 games combined. The Wildcats will have to play their most complete game of the season if they are to beat Duke. Arizona is 29-7 SU and 18-15-1 ATS overall this year. The Wildcats are 5-3 both SU and ATS in neutral court games this season. Arizona is also 5-3 ATS as the listed underdog this year. The Wildcats average 76.5 PPG this season, 25th best in the nation. In order for them to compete with Duke, Arizona is likely going to need to score in the 80's. F Derrick WIlliams has been outstanding all season long, as he's averaging team highs of 19.1 PPG and 8.2 RPG. Williams is in the running for the overall #1 pick in the NBA Draft should he decide to declare. Williams is the only Arizona player averaging double figures in PPG this year. G Lamont Jones is averaging 9.5 PPG and 2.4 APG this year for the Wildcats. The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games as the listed underdog. Arizona is 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS win. The Wildcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games. Arizona is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against the ACC.
Projected Score: 72
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS last 5 games as an underdog.
Over is 7-1 last 8 NCAA Tournament games as the listed underdog.
BLUE DEVILS: (-8.5, O/U 145) Duke is coming off a close call, as they beat Michigan 73-71 SU. The Blue Devils didn't show their customary killer instinct, and it nearly cost them considering Michigan had a chance to win the game on the final possession. Duke is likely to learn from this call, which could spell disaster for the remaining 15 teams. Duke is 32-4 SU and 20-15 ATS overall this year. The Blue Devils are a perfect 8-0 SU and 5-3 ATS in neutral court settings this season. Duke is 6-3 ATS as a single digit favorite this year. PG Nolan Smith has made a strong case for National Player of the Year with his superb play to end the season. Smith averages team highs of 21 PPG and 5.2 APG this year for the Blue Devils. F Kyle Singler is averaging 16.9 PPG and 6.8 RPG this season. The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as the listed favorite. Duke is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning SU record. The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Duke is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games. The Blue Devils are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. Duke is 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games following an ATS loss.
Projected Score: 81 (OVER-Total of the Day)
Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS last 5 games against the PAC-10.
Under is 11-4 last 15 games overall.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer...
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