Villanova visits West Virginia at 9 pm ET in a Big East clash that will be televised on ESPN. Is there a hotter team in college basketball right now than Villanova? The Wildcats have won six straight and have covered eight straight. 'Nova has averaged 99.3 points per game over their last three games. On the other side, West Virginia is struggling. The Mountaineers have lost three of their last four games and four of their last six.
Given Villanova's SU & ATS streaks, 'Nova's gaudy recent offensive numbers, and West Virginia's recent struggles, it looks pretty easy to take Villanova +4. But you know what they say -- "If something looks too good to be true, it probably is."
Motivation is clearly on West Virginia's side tonight. They need this game a lot more than 'Nova. Having the home crowd and a national TV audience watching should only add to WVU's fire tonight. This game reminds me a lot of last night's Notre Dame-Louisville Big East matchup, which the Irish won in huge fashion. Louisville was hot and Notre Dame was struggling mightily, but that home cooking on national TV in a must-win game sparked the Irish. I see the same thing happening tonight in Morgantown.
Look for West Virginia's defense (56 ppg allowed on 39.1% shooting at home) to stop 'Nova's offensive spree and give the Mountaineers a much-needed win. The Mountaineers are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or less. Make it 21-7 ATS after tonight. Villanova may also come out a bit flat tonight after a big win against Marquette in their last outing. Lay the points with West Virginia.
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