CHICAGO CUBS at HOUSTON ASTROS
Yesterday the Cubs wasted all the good work of Ted Lilly by losing
2-1 at Houston, where the batters Kosuke Fukudome, Derrek Lee and
Aramis Ramirez were terrible with 0-12! The team have already gave
signs of not being at 100% in their last game before the All Star
break, when they lost against the Giants by 2-4 and yesterday they have
confirmed this tendency. However today they will send to the pitch
their ace Carlos Zambrano (2.84 ERA 10-3) who has been very solid
during the whole season, especially in his last matches. Zambrano on
the road hasn't been as solid as at home with 3.61 ERA and a record of
5-3, but he has been amazing in his last games. Against the Cardinals,
he hasn't allowed any run in the 5 innings in which he pitched with 5
strike outs and against Cincinnati, he has only allowed 1 run in 8
innings and with also 5 strike outs. Besides that in the All Star game,
Zambrano has only allowed 1 hit in the 2 innings he has pitched. His
good form is evident:
"That's probably the best I've seen him in a long time," said Dunn
of Zambrano, who has allowed a run and five hits over 14 innings in his
last two starts.
So I expect Chicago to continue with good
pitching performances today, as the quality today will be there. My
doubts are with the pitcher that Houston will use today. Wandy
Rodriguez is actually having a reasonable season with 3.48 ERA 4-3 and
his numbers are good at home games, with 2.72 ERA and 2-2, but recently
his form has been poor. Actually in his last three games he has a
record of 6.90 ERA and curiously 1-0, however that is easy to explain,
it's only necessary to see the teams they have faced: Washington,
Atlanta and LA Dodgers. The first one isn't necessary to talk about its
quality (or lack of), but against Atlanta and the Dodgers, these two
teams were in bad phases and still he couldn't stop their attack.
Zambrano has played against the Astros this season and he had a good
performance with 2 runs in 7 innings, with a win by 3-2 against
Houston, while Rodriguez hasn't played against the Cubs this season.
The fact that the Cubs are currently on a mini slump and that made the
moneyline for them to be at a reasonable price today. Sooner or later
the Cubs will appear again in a good fashion and I don't think
Rodriguez will be capable to continue the poor form of the Cubs batters
today. Take the Cubs in here.
PLAY: 1* UNIT ML CHICAGO CUBS
KANSAS CITY ROYALS at CHICAGO WHITE SOX
The team of the White Sox began in the best way this divisional series
against Kansas, defeating them by 9-5. Today the series continues and
in my opinion, the Royals will struggle again today, as the White Sox
will send a pitcher, who has been very solid at home this season. Gavin
Floyd is 10-5 and 3.63 ERA, but at home he becomes a much better
pitcher, as his numbers come to 7-1 and an ERA of just 2.57 ERA.
Actually his team record with him is 9-1. Floyd was terrible in his
last match against Texas (on the road), as in just 3 innings, he
allowed 2 home runs, 6 hits and 5 runs, which even against the best
offensive team in the league is a poor performance, which he has
already admitted. The best that could happen to him has happened, as he
has now an home game to bounce back.
Curiously the Royals have been struggling on the road against right
hander pitchers, as their record is just 13-22 with 3.6 runs per game
and if when the games are at night, the numbers go to 5-13. This
doesn't say anything necessarily, but when he see the White Sox winning
6 of the 7 games this season against them, the difficulties Kansas will
have today are evident. The Royals will use Gil Meche as their starting
pitcher (4.64 ERA 6-9) and he hasn't been playing well recently. Meche
in his last 3 games had an ERA of 5.00 and went 0-1. He has faced the
White Sox this season and his team lost by 6-2. This team of the White
Sox played well yesterday and his offense showed to be in a good moment
and this season when that happens, the team reacts well in the
following game. They are 11-1 against the money line in home games
after scoring 8 runs or more e 14-3 against the money line in home
games after a win by 4 runs or more this season. That's why I love
them today. Take the White Sox RL in here.
PLAY 1* UNIT ON RL CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Good Luck