VS
Sweden - Allsvenskan - Falkenberg / Norrkoping OVER 2.5 (-131) WINNER
This match kicks in 35min.
This match may start out cagey as neither team will want to make an early mistake but it won’t last long as both teams should be pushing for the win. The breakthrough goal should turn this into a wide open affair, as most of the H2H battles at Falkenberg have been.
With just 5 matches remaining in the season, both teams are mired in the relegation battle. Norrkoping sits in 14th with 26pts which puts them in the relegation playoff while Falkenberg sits just behind them in 15th with 23pts which has them relegated as it stands. As you can see, a draw really does neither team any good as it creates no further separation. Falkenberg, in particular, should be keen on getting these 3pts at home as that would level them on pts and see them jump Norrkoping on goal differential.
Now to the numbers. Falkenberg has scored in every home match this season with 11 goals in their L5. So there’s that. In a league of 16 teams, Falkenberg rank 15th in home defense, conceding 20 goals in 12 matches. Likewise, Norrkoping rank 15th in away defense, conceding 23 goals in 12 matches. Norrkoping has conceded multiple goals in 8 of their L9 away matches. So, while it’s likely the home team scores at least once and has a fair shot at scoring twice, they are also likely to concede as they have in 6 of their L7 home matches and they’ve conceded 10 goals in their L4 at home.
Falkenberg has seen 9 of their L11 league matches go o2.5. Their L5 home league matches have seen a total of 22 goals. Norrkoping has seen 10 of their L13 league matches go o2.5. Their L7 away matches have seen a total of 24 goals. The L3 H2H matches at Falkenberg have seen a total of 10 goals. In 7 all time H2H matches at Falkenberg, 26 goals have been scored.