DanielSong39 said:
If you want to bet Gauff you should try the handicap at +5.5
I wouldn't do it though
I personally love spots like this (I'm still trying to talk myself into the bet). To me we have two high variance likely possibilities in my opinion.
1. Coco is nervous and just gets dominated by a player who is just dominating at the moment.
2. Coco has nothing to lose. She's very capable of breaking serve and she serves well. Later the match goes the more pressure is on swiatek as a huge favorite.
3. I personally hate the handicap in a situation like this because you have no effing clue what extreme you will get with Coco in my opinion. I loved the handicap today between Zve and Nadal because to me you knew what you were gonna get from both of them so the handicap was more valuable because a large majority of possible outcomes fell within that handicap. Extremes were less likely in that match.
If you told me Coco loses the final 6-0 6-2 I wouldn't be that surprised but I also wouldn't be shocked if the longer the match goes she wins. For +500 payout in OK looking like a dumbass if she losses 6-0 6-2 for the opportunity to look like a genius