England - League 2 - Stevenage / Newport OVER 2.5 (-126) 1.5* WINNER
Stevenage hasn’t kept a clean sheet in 12 home matches this season. They’ve conceded multiple goals in their L8 at home. In total, they’ve conceded 25 goals in their 12 home matches which leaves them ranked #23 in home defense in a 24 team league. As porous as their home defense has been, they have at least managed to keep their home matches entertaining (for neutrals) by scoring in 10 of their 12 home matches. As a result, BTTS and o2.5 are both 10-2 in their home matches. When facing fellow bottom half teams at home, Stevenage has seen the o2.5 go 4-0 with a total of 17 goals. L5 home matches have seen a total of 22 goals. Overall, Stevenage home matches average 3.83 goals.
Newport find themselves bottom of the table but it’s not for a lack of goals. They’ve scored in 10 of their L12 league matches, netting 17 goals in the process. Away from home, Newport has kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches but 2 of those were in visits to bottom 5 teams Leyton & Notts County. Newport did endure a stretch of 4 away matches without scoring but they have since found their finishing touch on the road, scoring in 5 straight away for a total of 9 goals. L5 away matches have seen a total of 19 goals. Overall, Newport away matches average 2.58 goals.
These teams have played each other 5 times in L2 since 2014. Stevenage scored twice in 4 of those 5 matches while Newport found the back of the net in 4 of 5.