Simple concept: I've been comparing the preseason lines posted by CG Technologies vs. Posted Weekly Supercontest lines and seeing how line movement did regarding "value" Ex: if KC -7 was preseason line and KC -2 was like posted that week, that's 5 points of "value" on KC.
Since Week 2, The teams with "value" are 99-97-5 ATS (50.5%)
Teams w/3 or more points of value: 63-35-3 ATS (64.2%)
Teams w/6 or more points of value: 23-14-1 ATS (These teams are also included with the +3 Teams) (62.1%)
Teams w/ 0.5 - 2.5 points of value: 36-62-2 ATS (36.7%)
Google Doc Here