FYI...
I had one paid play last night -- a 3* on the Knicks -2 over the Bucks. The complete write-up is below. If you take the time to read it, you'll understand why the linesmakers are no match for PhD scientists with the power of the Sports Data Query Language at their fingertips.
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The Bucks were down 17 to the Bulls entering the fourth quarter in their last game. With the help of their bench, they outscored Chicago 30-12 in the final stanza to win 93-92. Dunleavy scored six points, Jennings scored six points, Tobias Harris scored 8 points and three of the starters played less than 20 minutes each. This is not a good sign for the Bucks.
Milwaukee is 0-10 ATS (-11.6 ppg) at home after a win in which Tobias Harris scored fewer than 10 points, 0-8 ATS (-6.3 ppg) at home after a win in which Mike Dunleavy scored fewer than 10 points and 0-6 ATS (-9.2 ppg) with at least a day of rest after a win in which Brandon Jennings scored fewer than 10 points.
As a team, Milwaukee is 0-11 ATS (-6.0 ppg) at home with at most one day of rest off a road win in which they trailed at the end of the third quarter, 0-6 ATS (-7.3 ppg) with at least one day of rest off a road win in which their leading scorer for that game had fewer than 20 points and 0-6 ATS (-5.4 ppg) at home with at most one day of rest off a road win in which they trailed at the end of each of the first three quarters.
The Knicks are off a rousing 121-100 win over the Pistons in which they were 17-of-33 from the arc. The Bucks should not be able to slow them down here. New York is 14-0 ATS when they are off a win in which they scored at least 15 points more than expected and attempted fewer than 40 free throws, as can be seen with this SDQL text:
team=Knicks and p:W and p:dps>15 and p:FTA<40 and 20100305<=date
Also, the Knicks are 7-0 ATS after a win in which they shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them. Check it out with this SDQL text:
team=Knicks and p:W and p:TPP>=50 and 20110401<=date
Finally, the Knicks are a perfect 5-0 ATS THIS season with rest after a win in which Carmelo Anthony was their high scorer.
The Knicks are 9-3 this season with all three losses on the road vs Western conference teams. They are not only 6-0 ATS vs the East this season, they have won EVERY game by double digits – including a win over the Miami Heat. Lay this short number.
MTi’s FORECAST: New York 109 MILWAUKEE 95
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We predicted a 14-point Knicks' win and they won by 14.
Dr M.