562 Suns (+2) over Jazz
This is gonna be a battle between the top 2 seeds out West and possible Western Conference Finals preview. That may seem fair fetched considering the Lakers and Clippers are the favorites to make it out the West ahead of these 2 teams assuming all teams healthy but I think the Suns have a legit shot. They’re the best team ATS this season with a 32-17 ATS record and best team ATS as a underdog with a 6-2 ATS record also. A key factor for this matchup will be if the Suns defense can control the Jazz offense again like they were able to in the first matchup. Back on 12/31 the Suns held Utah to 95 points while holding them 5% below their FG% and 3P%. That could’ve been because the game took place on New Years Eve but the Suns defense has held down a lot of great offenses all season. The biggest factor may be the value that the oddsmakers are placing on the Suns. The Suns as a 4 point road dog won the game outright by 11 against the 1st seeded Jazz. Now the oddsmakers are saying the Jazz are 5-7 points better by opening this line as Jazz 5 point road favorites against a Suns team that is the best team ATS and have the best percentage ATS as underdogs. I’m playing the Suns and looking to take them on the ML as well.