579 Hornets/Kings Over 237.5
This is another matchup that has everything you need to go over the total. Both teams rank in the bottom 5 or worse over their last 10 games in defensive rating and opponent eFG% while being ranked above league average in pace of play (Hornets-12th, Kings-11th). Both teams also rank average or better in eFG% and both teams should have their top 3 scorers available to play. On the road Hornets games go over the total 73.3% of the time (league best) by 8.4 points compared to Kings games at home go over the total 72.2% of the time (3rd best in the league) by 7.6 points. We also have 2 elite young point guards in LaMelo Ball and DeAron Fox that love to push the pace of the game. 239 points seems like a high total but over each teams last 10 games they’ve combined to give up 120 points or more to their opponent 14 out of 20 times so I’ll gladly play the over and expect a shootout in a close game.
The Over is 6-0 in the Hornets last 6 games playing on 1 day of rest and 6-0 in their last 6 road games while the Over is 5-0 in the Kings last 5 home games vs a team with a losing road record. The Over is also 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams.