732 Celtics (-1.5) over Heat
I think there’s a lot value in this line on the Celtics as I have them 5 points better than the Heat and I anticipate the line moving up to 2/2.5. In my NBA article that you can find on bettingpredators.com the Celtics were my pick to win the East because of their ability to matchup with any playing style and be successful. They have a legit big 3 in Tatum, Brown and Walker plus being well coached. The Heat pulled of the big upset by knocking out the Bucks and they were able to exploit one of the Bucks biggest weakness and that was defending the 3. The Celtics are much better defending the 3 as they only allowed teams to shoot 34% from 3 during the regular season and they improved on that number since the season restarted and in the playoffs only allowing teams to shoot 31% from 3. I also anticipate the Heat being a little rusty as they haven’t played in a week. The Celtics also won the season series going 2-1 SU and ATS vs the Heat with a average MOV of +9 and exceeding expectations ATS with a +3.8 point differential.