504 Hawks (+6.5) over Heat
Last matchup on 12/10 came on the road w/o John Collins who’s averaging 20 points and 10 rebounds and the Hawks are better when he’s on the floor should be playing for this matchup. Also was a 2 point game at halftime and the game went into overtime where the game got away from the Hawks while they shot 47% from the field and 37% from 3. One of the differences was the Hawks were out rebounded by 21 and -5 in offensive rebounds that led to 14 2nd chance points. With Collins back he should help close that gap. The last game Miami had in Atlanta back on 10/31 they were a 7 point road favorite and this line opened up at 5.5 so oddsmakers are saying the Hawks have gotten a little better since then especially playing at home while 60% of the games the Hawks have covered this season has come at home with a 15-10 record ATS.