I hate to keep answering until someone that knows what they are doing corrects my math but that's never stopped me before........
The moneyline on a 6.5% event would be around +1430. Going for the middle is a 20 to 1 win but you lose 93.5% of the time. So does this mean it has 1.5% edge? I'm not sure.....
Taking over 54 will win 59.5% of the time and under 57.5 wins 58.8%
58 and 59 are key numbers with 2.96% and 4.80% respectively and the 59 would be worth -190