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Okay, I got a gambling related math/probability problem. Here it is.
If one is using a standard deck of cards and using blackjack valuations (all face cards are 10 but aces are always 1) What would be a proper O/U total for a hold-em flop so the over and under is an even money bet. If you could also provide a proof of it that would be great. My buddies and I at the poker table want another prop to bet on pre-flop.
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I'll give it a try but have no background in statistics.
A24 = 4*4*4 (6 combo) =384
AA5 = 4*3*4 (3 combo) =144
223 = 4*3*4 (3 combo) =144
33A = 4*3*4 (3 combo) =144
sum 816/132600=.6153
Voila! Exactly right!
ComptrBob said: Voila! Exactly right!
I tried but this damn polar vortex forced me to put my shoes and socks back on before I was able to calculate
We got it last week and again tomorrow. Had a burst water pipe and spent all day Thursday in my crawl space with a hammer and a bucket picking up ice. I swear I will not complain this summer when it hits 105.
Sorry computerbob, comp went BSOD on me. Too much piratebay maybe I think.
Let me try to see if I got this right. Let me try P8. Mad props to shackfu's post for putting me on right track.
AA6 4*3*4 (3combo) 144
A25 4*4*4 (6combo) 384
A34 4*4*4 (6combo) 384
224 4*3*4 (3combo) 144
233 4*4*3 (3combo) 144
1200/132600 x 100%=0.905
HigherPOV said: Sorry computerbob, comp went BSOD on me. Too much piratebay maybe I think. Let me try to see if I got this right. Let me try P8. Mad props to shackfu's post for putting me on right track. AA6 4*3*4 (3combo) 144 A25 4*4*4 (6combo) 384 A34 4*4*4 (6combo) 384 224 4*3*4 (3combo) 144 233 4*4*3 (3combo) 144 1200/132600 x 100%=0.905
Great work folks! The exact solution program I wrote just automates this process. This was a fun problem.
THANK YOU computerBob for helping out on this thread. I am glad you had fun helping.Thanks Shackfu for taking a stab at that problem and helping me understand. Everyone's help is greatly appreciated and will most likely be needed again in the future. You've help make pre-flop prop bets a lot more fun...has sort of a Sic-Bo feel to it. Here's how I have the bet set up for poker night. We'll each take a side and if the sum happens to come up a 20, we both give the dealer a small blind for his toke box.
ComptrBob What language did you write it in?
and sic bo is my guilty please casino game.
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