sanddweller said:
Fezzik/RJ, since your results are so amazing this year, why wouldn't you want to post them shortly after start time to prove the haters wrong? Why not just have a forum thread where 5 or 10 minutes after your play starts you post it. That way you prove the haters wrong and you can add a lot more clients who see your plays winning. Seems like an easy fix, no?
You raise the same point that I have made here for quite some time.
Despite posts by some here to the contrary, I do not verify the BLAP plays since I do not have access to them until they are past posted in the Update thread. The picks do not contain a time stamp so they generally cannot be verified as available offshore and in Vegas (except perhaps in cases where the line used has existed for hours at many books).
I posted the following at EOG that summarizes my experience with BLAP record keeping:
Just in regard to 2013, there were at least 5 possibly different accounts of BLAP performance:
1. The text/email messages logged by Fezzik and considered picks.
2. The picks received by actual customers.
3. JD/Fezzik's recital of these picks in the Pregame Update thread.
4. JD's private spreadsheet of BLAP picks.
5. My spreadsheet accounting of the picks from the posted picks in the Update thread.
Of course, I had no access to #1 and #2.
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When I attempted to reconcile the 2013 results from #4 and #5 (JD had BLAP up 3u, I had it up around 24u), I found many errors in JD's spreadsheet (a block of 30 picks were duplicated + other errors), a few picks in JD's SS were not present in the Update thread, I had a few errors in my SS where I had missed a pick or not eliminated duplicate picks posted in the Update thread.
The whole process was very time consuming and certainly didn't leave me a very good confidence for the level of accuracy of either JD's or my tallies. I finally ended up with a "consensus" result of +12.5u.