Kelso got air force -10.5 for the 200 units
Here's what he put up and why
College Football Game Of The Year
200 Units
Air Force (-10 ?) over SAN DIEGO STATE
Prediction: Air Force by 35
Starting Time: 9:30
TV: MTN
Weather in San Diego: Clear with game-time temperature of 60 degrees,
relative humidity of 54% and wind out of the west at 15 PMPH.
Comments: First of all, when I find a game that can be released at the 200-
unit level, the team I am using must have the ability to absolutely dominate the other
team on both sides of the ball. Air Force (3-2) is in that position against a poorly
coached San Diego State (1-4) team that has been decimated by injuries, losing 15
players for the entire season, seven of them starters. Things went from bad to worst
this week when it was announced San Diego State?s starting quarterback Ryan Lindley
had not recovered from a shoulder injury incurred at TCU last week and would miss
this game.His replacement is adequate but adequate does not get it done against Air
Force,
The team I am using also has to be so dominating that it can play its worse
game of the season and still win and cover. Air Force fills that bill too.
These two things are just the beginning of the process, which has 47 different
points of analysis. A team must grade out on top in at least 40 of those categories to
even be considered. This is no shot in the dark.
As I have pointed previously I completed a five-year study in February that
really opened my eyes to why college and National Football League teams win or lose.
There was a silver bullet that came out of the NFL study (passing and pass defense)
but the college game came out of the process in a bit more complicated fashion.
Results of the college study said that version of the game rested on one
thing?talent and lots of it?and that the talent factor could be revealed with the
combined facts contained in five different elements--quarterback vs. quarterback,
running game vs. running game, did a team have a game-breaker, the experience of
the offensive line and the quality of each team?s defense.
Here is the grade card for Air Force and San Diego State this week.
GRADE CARD FOR 200-UNIT GAME OF YEAR
( Each Team Is Rated On A Scale Of From 0 to 10, with 10 Being The Best Figure)
ANALYSIS CATEGORY AIR FORCE SAN DIEGO STATE
Quarterback 7.0 3.0
Running Game 10.0 0.0
Game Breaker None None
Offensive Line 7.0 3.0
Quality Of Defense 8.0 2.0
In addition to this it has not been lost on me San Diego State has beaten only
Idaho, a 1-5 team that is simply non-competitive and which gives up 47.3 points and
502.8 yards per game The Aztecs even lost to I-AA Cal Poly-San Luis Obispo, 29-27.
It also is comforting to know Air Force always comes to play and brings the
heat from the get-go. It also is a major plus Air Force, which opened the season 3-0,
comes into this off back-to-back losses?to unbeaten Utah, 30-23, and to Navy last
week, 33-27.
This game has blow-out written all over it and I do look for at least a 35-point
win.
so far so good with all his big plays, i started with the panther game the push, that was scary, thats the 50 to 200 units plays
today he posted up Bear -3 for a 50 unit play