After watching the SDSU interior defense continually shut down 7'2" Kockbrenner with block after block, I thought "this team is going to the final four". BUT they can't shoot to save their life. If FAU can knock down some outside shots, they have a better than 50% chance to win this game.
In the other one, I agree with Uncle Vito, "It's UConn, right?" I think it has to be, yes. Sure, Miami could surprise again (why not?) but play this 100 times and I think UConn wins 80+ of them.
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Two stats from behind the KenPom paywall:
Experience: SDSU 21 / Miami 27 / UConn 115 / FAU 148
Bench: FAU 15 / SDSU 30 / UConn 223 / Miami 326
This is the free hompage, but check out AdjO and AdjD. They make "UConn -125 to win it all" look like a bargain.