NCAAB YTD: 63-56 53% (+4.01u)
2 Unit: 1-0 (+2u)
1.5 Unit: 2-1 (+1.38u)
1 Unit: 60-55 (+0.63u)
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Thursday 2-1 (+0.97u)
Friday: No Plays
Saturday January 21st
Utah -3 -110 (1.1u / 1u)
This is a cheap price to support an undervalued team here with the Utes who are healthy and looking like a much different team than they did to start the year. Their zone defence has begun to click and they have looked very impressive as of late. After a road loss @ Arizona they have won 3 of 4, their only loss by 1 against UCLA. They absolutely embarrassed Wazzou on Wednesday and come into this game today fresh and confident. On the other side, I have not been impressed with Washington this season. Yes they have some impressive athletes but they are poorly coached and struggle on both sides of the court. If Utah can get back and set up in their zone defence Washington is going to struggle to score the basketball. I have no issue laying the -3 here with the Utes.
Georgia +3.5 -106 (1.06u / 1u)
If you have paid any attention whatsoever to either of these two teams this year, this line should be a head scratcher to you. A&M has showed absolutely nothing to warrant laying this number here today against Georgia. A&M’s only SU & ATS win was a blowout in a home game against a putrid LSU team. I think the markets are still thinking of A&M as the impressive tournament team of last year and haven’t come to grips with what they truly are this season. On the other side of the matchup are the Georgia Bulldogs which have been extremely impressive. They have shown they can go on the road and perform well in this role. They have won outright has dogs @ Auburn & Mississippi and lost in OT to Florida in a game they could have easily won. Their defence keeps them in every game and they should be able to slow down a very pedestrian A&M defence here today. Georgia can win this game outright, give me the dog.
Mississippi State +4.5 -101 (1.01u / 1u)
The Bulldogs have been disrespected and misplaced by the markets since conference play started. Why is Tennessee laying 5 here? Mississippi State has done nothing but impress me since the start of conference play. After an opening loss to Alabama they have covered 4 straight, all as dogs, winning 3 of them outright. 2-0 ATS and SU as road dogs against LSU & Arkansas. In their last matchup they hung tough with Kentucky, only loosing by 7 at home, easily covering the +14. They come into Tennessee facing a Volunteer squad who is struggling and searching for an identity. They have lost 4 of 5 SU & ATS with their only win @ Vanderbilt where they shot the lights out. There is NO reason why they are laying 5 here against Mississippi State. The young gun Bulldogs are explosive on offence and extremely well coached under Ben Howland. They have the athleticism to match up with Tennessee and have a great shot to win this game, so ill gladly grab the +4.5
Florida State -4 -110 (1.1u / 1u)
I’m not ready to get off this bandwagon just yet! This looks to be a great spot here for the Seminoles. Yes, Louisville had no issue knocking off Clemson in their first game without Quentin Snider. However, this will be a much tougher task on the road against the deep, athletic Seminoles. I’m not so sure that Louisville's aggressive pressing style will yield positive results in this ball game. Florida State will welcome that and look to break pressure and run the floor. The absence of Snider will be felt on the road here in a game where turnovers will result in points scored on the other end by the Seminoles. I’ve said it a bunch already this year, but I really like this Florida State team, their depth and athleticism is tremendous and they have been unstoppable at home this season. I see them winning this game by 7-10 points and will lay the -4 here.