Had a nice little 3-0 sweep last night. Top plays are now on an 11-4 run the last 15. Let's keep it going over the nexy two days. BOL Everyone.
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
Arizona -10.5 over Xavier: I know that Sean Miller has some ties with the Musketeers and some think he may not run up the score here, but still this Arizona team is much better than a middle of the pack Big East squad that really didn't have too tough a slate to get here. Xavier played well down the stretch and to get into the Big Dance, but still this was just a 9-9 team in a mediocre Big East conference this year and they did lose by 17 points in a step up game vs Villanova in the Big East finals. Arizona come sin having won 13 games in a row and have outscored their opponents by 25 ppg in their last 7 games. This is a team that went 19-2 vs Pac-12 competition this year and we have seen just how good this conference has been in the Big Dance. The Pac-12 is clearly better than the Big east and Arizona really dominate their conference this year and they should dominate a Xavier team that just doesn't have the offense or the defense to keep up in this one. Arizona moves on with ease here.
Wisconsin/ North Carolina Under 145: The Badgers are locked in defensively right now and while they have run with some teams this year I don't feel they will attempt that with the Heels in this one. That would be a recipe for disaster for this team. North Carolina should be without Kennedy Meeks for this one and with him goes 11.6 ppg on 56.5% shooting. That not easy to replace especially vs a Wisconsin team that has allowed just 56.8 ppg on 42.2% shooting for the year, while away from home they have allowed just 56 ppg on 40.2% shooting. This is a tough defense that should slow down the Heels here. Carolina is not a great defensive team, they are 41st in the nation in defensive FG% and Wisconsin should really play a slow paced game on offense. In their game vs Arkansas the Heels won by 9 in a game that was uptempo and more to their like, while they only won by 2 vs a slow paced Harvard team in a game that saw just 132 points being scored. Slowing this team down is the key to beating them and for that I really don't see why the Badgers would run with them. This one should be played in the 130s as well.
NC State/ Louisville Under 130: Earlier in the year these teams put up 139 points, but i see this one much lower scoring than that. Louisville has really been an offensively challenged team down the stretch as they have averaged just 60.2 ppg in their last 5 games and just 60.9 ppg in their last 9 games. I see them having trouble scoring vs an NC State squad that has allowed 67.4 ppg on just 40.1% shooting in their last 5 games. The Wolfpack have been a rather average offensive squad down the stretch, averaging just 66.1 ppg in their last 8 games and I will expect them to struggle vs a Louisville team that has allowed just 54 ppg in the first 2 games of the tourney and just 59.5 ppg overall for the year. This is a tough defensive team that will not give up much here. This game should be a slow paced game especially down the stretch of it and with two poor shooting team vs two solid defenses teams this one should stay in the lower 120s.
BEST OF THE REST
Notre Dame/ Wichita State Over 137: Both teams are excellent passing teams and that should create many open looks, especially from long range and both teams are very good 3-point shooting teams. Both teams will also get out and run and with many long shots that should also create many break out chances. Defensively both teams have been solid, but the Shockers have averaged 70.4 ppg in their last 5 games, while Notre Dame has put up 74.5 ppg in their last 10 games (Regulation). This game also has the feel on one that might come down to the foul game at the and that should produce many extra points, especially since there will be no tomorrow for the loser. I look for this one to be played in the 140s.
Kentucky/ West Virginia Under 136.5: Kentucky is not a team that will get rattled too much by the West Virginia press as they have excellent ball handlers. West Virginia generates many of their points off of turnovers, but Kentucky has turned the ball over just 10 times per game this year. That means allot of half court offense from the Mountaineers and this is a terrible shooting team and they can't hit their FTs either. The Cats offense has been very good of late, but this is not a bad West Virginia defense and they should hold the Cats down somewhat here. Their press should slow the Cats down and make them more of a halfcourt team as well. Still Kentucky will get their points, but I just don't see this terrible shooting west Virginia squad scoring a bunch vs the #1 team in the nation in defensive FG%. 70-57 sounds like a good score for this.
Duke -5.5 over Utah
8 Point Teaser: Notre Dame +10 & Arizona -2.5 & Gonzaga -.5
Michigan State -1.5 over Oklahoma
Louisville -2.5 over NC State
UCLA/ Gonzaga Under 144.5
NORTHERN ARIZONA -2 over Kent State
Duke/ Utah Under 134.5
CBB 2014/15
Top Plays Overall 116-102-4 (+9.2 Units)... 4 Unit 0-2-0 (-8.8 Units)
Top Play Totals 112-105-3 (-12.2 Units)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 258-264-10 (-64.6 Units)
Best Of The Rest Totals 179-196-10 (-72.6 Units)