No play yesterday
0-1 Wednesday, 17-15 season
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Joe Musgrove (SDP) Over 2.5 Earned Runs (-110)
It’s not been a stellar start to 2024 for Joe Musgrove. After a 2023 campaign with him in the top 10% of xERA, he answered that with a 6.73 xERA through six starts this season. Musgrove will battle the Phillies, which is not a great sign, especially after the Padres used five bullpen arms yesterday. The Phillies offense is surging at the moment. Trea Turner is playing like an MVP candidate, Bryce Harper returned to the lineup yesterday after the birth of his 3rd child and hit a home run, and Alec Bohm is off to a career-best start. 1-6 in this lineup can put a ton of pressure on Musgrove, who has allowed at least three earned runs in all but one start this season.
Musgrove is slated to go deep into this game like he has the last few seasons on most occasions. The deeper Musgrove goes into this game, the better chance the Phillies have at scoring three runs off him.
Shota Imanaga (CHC) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-137)
I’ll be sure to tune into the pitching matchup between Shota Imanaga and Kutter Crawford tonight. Both pitchers rank in the top five in ERA at below 1.00, while Imanaga has done a great job limiting walks and having batters chase outside the strike zone.
I’m confused by this line, as the Red Sox aren’t an offense many left-handed pitchers fear. They rank in the bottom 10 in batting average and middle of the pack in slugging and wRC+. The weather looks more than ideal for both pitchers tonight. Give me the side of Imanaga to continue his sensational start to 2024.
Zac Gallen (ARI) Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (-111)
Zac Gallen will face off against the disappointing Seattle Mariners on the road – on the road being emphasized. Gallen has been much worse on the road in his career than at home. Even last season, during his CY Young-esque year, Gallen registered a 4.42 ERA while allowing at least five hits in 12 of 19 starts.
After a struggling start to the season, the Mariners find themselves winners of seven of their last nine games, primarily due to the offense finally heating up. During that 9-game span, the Mariners are averaging close to five runs per game. A series at Coors Field was all they needed. Nonetheless, they’ve found themselves in the top 10 in almost all major hitting categories against RHP in the last week.