There will be people that look at the Giants game against Arizona as a big "letdown situation" coming off their big weekend series against the Astros. They also had to travel without a day off, which has to be a negative, no? Well here is what I found and the parameters used to come up with these numbers.
1. No day off
2. Playing on the road after a home game yesterday (Had to travel)
3. Win pct of today's opponent less than 45 (bad team)
4. Yesterday's opponent had a win pct over 56 (good team)
5. They are favored by more than -135 today
6. They beat that good team yesterday at home as favorites ( sets up the letdown theory)
Teams in this situation are 24-4 in database history, including the last 11 in a row, which goes back to 2015. The last 7 in a row have covered the run-line which is what I am recommending here.
Take the Giants -1.5 (-125) tonight.
https://killersports.com/mlb/query?su=1&ou=1&sdql=AF+and+o%3AWP%3C45+and+p%3AHFW+and+rest%3D0+and+po%3AWP%3E56+and+line%3C-135&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++