914 Blue Jays (-141) over Orioles
Going with the Blue Jays again with Sam Gaviglio. Over the Gaviglio doesn't have great numbers but his only this season has come against the Orioles and in his 8 starts at home he's 0-1 with a 2.76 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP and the Blue Jays are 4-4 in his home starts so this is the best situation he can be in to pick up his 2nd win of the season. He's faced the Orioles 1 time in his career and hasn't recorded a win yet with a 4.69 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP. He'll be matched up against Dylan Bundy and he hasn't been great over the season either and definitely not in his last 3 starts. In Bundy's away starts he's 3-5 in 10 starts with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP and the Orioles are just 3-7 in his road starts. Bundy has faced the Blue Jays 5 times in his career and is 2-1 with a 2.61 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP. The Blue Jays are hitting .259 as a team over their last 7 games and their lineup should continue to get hits and put runs up while I'm looking for Justin Smoak to lead the way at the plate. He's faced Bundy 11 times and has 4 hits batting .364 and he had some great at bats last night. Over the last 3 seasons the Blue Jays are 19-10 against the Orioles in Toronto and this year the Blue Jays are 10-1 (8-0 at home) against the Orioles. Orioles are 31-69 in the last 100 meetings in Toronto. Orioles are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings.