They did give me results, 1 - 10. But you are saying with such a small sample size how could you know switching logic was right. My answer is that it felt like the right thing to do at the time. My gut told me, something was up and I listened. I will be switching back and forth from the two sets of logic all season long probably as the ebb and flow of the season plays out.
Probabilities are either going to correct or skew with every result. Every money line number has a theoretical probability that goes long with it. The software either chooses a team to correct toward the fatty part of the bell curve or choose a team to skew further away from the mean. I suspect I will be jumping back and forth between the two sets of logic. Right now we are riding the one that is 31 - 10 since the 16th of July.
A nice sweep last night makes us 10 - 1 last 11 (+9 units), 21 - 10 last 31. We had one slip up up day so far that was an 0 - 4 where we lost three 1 run games other than that its been 3 - 0, 4 - 0, 4 - 1, 3 - 1, 3 - 2. All good stuff. I already know what I am doing works in NFL. I've done it on a very basic scales last two seasons and went 61% and 57.5%, this year I will get to do the full software work up of all NFL data, Totals too this year for the first time. I've chopped out 10 units or more two years in a row doing what I am doing but on a much more elementary level. If the software can do what it is doing in baseball, that means between NFL and MLB we will have 10 months out of the 12 where there will be a sport that the software can exploit to make money.
This NBA season will be very interesting. Its by far the most volatile sport. 15 point leads evaporate in minutes, tie games become blowouts fast. It's the King Of The Skews sport. If we can add NBA into the mix, then we will have all 12 months covered with sports overlapping. College Football and College Basketball will also get their first test run this season. But as long as we get NBA and turn it into a chop out sport then we have all 12 months covered with at least two sports overlapping half the year. I know there usually is about 60 - 70 NFL picks. MLB seems to avg. 3.5 picks per day/ so that is about 600 MLB picks, and then NBA will avg. 2.5 picks per day lets say that's another 400 picks. We're talking 1060 picks in 12 months. At a conservative 55% win rate that would be a 5.5% ROI and a 58 unit profit at the end of the year. If you can get down for $50/game that's $2,900. That's an extra $241/month. It's a car payment, or bar money. It's groceries for the month. If you're looking to develop a taste for high end escorts then we will need to win at least at the 57.5% mark, which I think is doable.
I'm at $50/game now. I'll be going to $100/game sometime soon I think if things stay the was we are going. The probabilities we are riding now are 31 - 10 since the All-Star Break for a +20.74 unit total in 10 days. I think we have lots of potential and I say we because I want every $25 and $50 player to now start being a winning player and hopefully over time get the bet up to 100 or 150 per game and chop out $1,000/month using the software. I think we can do it especially if we get bettors used to entering their picks into the tracker. The tracker is very useful during football season as you can't throw a stone without hitting an NFL junkie on the head. I'll have 70 - 80 opinions on every game. This year probably more. MLB is getting 18 - 20 a night. I'd like to see more so I can feel more comfortable with what the tracker says. I wanna take all the studying, rituals, superstitions, and guess work out of sports betting and turn it more into a financial investment that produces returns on your money based on hard core probabilities.