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Pro Pick From
Lenny Del Genio

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(At current odds)

2012-04-24T02:35:00.000Z 2012-04-24T02:35:00.000Z - NBA

505 Philadelphia 76ers
vs.
506 New Jersey NetsOld

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

04/23/2012

NBA Sides

76ers

105-87

-8½

2

W

200

Analysis
Play on Philadelphia at 7:35 ET.  Given what's at stake here for Philly (playoff spot) and New Jersey (nothing) and the fact the Nets are going to be without their two best players, PG Deron Williams and C Brooke Lopez, it stands reasonable to assume this will be blowout city.  We used the Sixers as a Division Game of the Year nearly two weeks ago as they crushed the Nets on this very floor, 107-88.  Yet, they will have revenge here for a shocking 95-89 loss in Philadelphia (as 11-point favorites) 10 days ago.  New Jersey has not won since, dropping four straight and surrendering 100 or more pts in the last three.  There might be some enthusiasm for this being the Nets' home finale and last game ever in East Rutherford as they'll be bolting for Brooklyn in the offseason.  But this has been a bad home team all season (10-21-1 ATS) and they have lost five straight times here to the 76ers.   They are just 5-13 ATS as a home dog.  Philadelphia has a huge edge defensively in this matchup, allowing 10 less points per game than New Jersey.  The Sixers are 20-9 ATS this season vs. teams w/ a losing record. They seem to have turned it around offensively, first beating Cleveland 103-87 on the road last Wednesday, then Indiana, also away from home, 109-106 outright as 4.5-pt dogs for us on Saturday.  Philadelphia is our NBA Oddsmaker Mismatch. 
Pick Creation Time:
04/22/2012 10:07 PM
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