Pick: MIN Timberwolves -4.5

Line: -110

Line has moved to MIN -3.5, so if you haven’t bet it yet you have additional value.

We saw a similar line move toward Denver ahead of Game 2.  I think the market is dead wrong here pricing Denver as the clearly better team.  I think the Nuggets benefited from playing teams in their last 5 playoff series prior to this one against teams who were largely limited in their half court defensive options.  The more I have seen of this series I’m convinced Denver cannot play their preferred half court style against the Wolves.   Despite Minnesota not having the DPOY, the Nuggets in game 2 were held to their worst offensive performance in the Jokic era.  I think Denver has to play faster to alleviate this pressure which I think plays right into Minnesota’s athleticism advantage.  Especially returning home to their ravenous crowd, I expect the Wolves to continue their dominance and win in a route.  108-96.