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Pro Pick From
sleepyj

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(At current odds)

2024-04-24T00:30:00.000Z 2024-04-24T00:30:00.000Z - NBA

511 Indiana Pacers
vs.
512 Milwaukee Bucks

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

04/23/2024

NBA Totals

OV IND/MIL

125-108

225

3

W

300

Analysis
This total is now down to 220.5...Another 5pt drop..These games keep going under and the public keeps hammering the under. Not in this game. Line is very wrong here. 

Home teams and unders. That's been the way to go for the playoffs so far. This total was 238 as an opener before when it came out. The number quickly got hit and closed at 230 in Game 1. Now another 5pt adjustment. I get it, but the market has overreacted to the playoffs producing far less points. The way the Bucks own Game 1, I see them playing less defense and firing up a ton of 3s again. Pacers will look to push the pace even faster now. That is how they win games. I think this total is too low now. I thought the 232 area was correct, but now it's just too low. 
Pick Creation Time:
04/21/2024 9:22 PM
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