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Pro Pick From
AJ Hoffman

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(At current odds)

2024-04-14T00:00:00.000Z 2024-04-14T00:00:00.000Z - UFC

3087 Pereira
vs.
3088 Hill

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

04/13/2024

UFC Prop

Zhang U4.5

0-1

-130

3

L

-390

Analysis

Weili Zhang/Xionan Yan Under 4.5 Rounds -130 


I know Zhang is coming off a decision win over Amanda Lemos, but she absolutely dominated her in a way that doesn’t give me any concern about her abilities as an elite finisher. And while I do think Yan is being a little undervalued on the betting line here, the concern is that she has never seen this level of competition. She has only been 5 rounds one time, and that was a majority decision win over Mackenzie Dern, and I can’t picture a world where Dern lasts 5 minutes with Weili. In my opinion, the only way Zhang loses this fight is if it gets to the judges, and she will not want to take that chance against her countrywoman. She is too strong of a grappler and too powerful of a striker to let Yan hang around, and if Carla Esparza was able to finish Yan, Weili will as well.  

Pick Creation Time:
04/10/2024 10:00 PM
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