Cleveland Browns +1.5

Divisional home dog?  Sign me up.  Year two of the Deshaun Watson experiment with a full off-season to prepare as well as much less – if at all – attention that last year on him.  I’d expect him to closer resemble the QB we saw in the beginning of his career than what he showed last season.  Burrow might be a tad rusty as he missed a lot of time due to a calf injury in training camp and contract negotiations as well.  Throw in the fact that Cincy lost a lot of defensive talent in the offseason (got to pay the offensive playmakers somehow), and I think the overall strength of that team is not much better than Cleveland’s.  I love the home divisional DAWG in this one.